Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Seattle high of 52-53°F (43%) for March 26, driven by the latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks in the low-to-mid 50s amid persistent Puget Sound marine stratus clouds that cap daytime heating via temperature inversions. Recent observations from Seattle-Tacoma Airport show highs averaging 51°F over the past week, with overnight lows in the upper 30s fueling radiative cooling. Historical data indicates March 26 averages 53°F, but current high-pressure ridging offshore limits warming, positioning 50-51°F (22%) as the next likely outcome while extremes fade. Key NWS updates expected today could refine these market-implied odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seattle em 26 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Seattle em 26 de março?
52-53°F 44%
50-51°F 23%
54-55°F 13%
48-49°F 8%
43°F ou menos
1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
3%
48-49°F
8%
50-51°F
23%
52-53°F
44%
54-55°F
13%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
1%
62°F ou mais
<1%
52-53°F 44%
50-51°F 23%
54-55°F 13%
48-49°F 8%
43°F ou menos
1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
3%
48-49°F
8%
50-51°F
23%
52-53°F
44%
54-55°F
13%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
1%
62°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Seattle high of 52-53°F (43%) for March 26, driven by the latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks in the low-to-mid 50s amid persistent Puget Sound marine stratus clouds that cap daytime heating via temperature inversions. Recent observations from Seattle-Tacoma Airport show highs averaging 51°F over the past week, with overnight lows in the upper 30s fueling radiative cooling. Historical data indicates March 26 averages 53°F, but current high-pressure ridging offshore limits warming, positioning 50-51°F (22%) as the next likely outcome while extremes fade. Key NWS updates expected today could refine these market-implied odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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