Trader sentiment for Houston's highest temperature on March 27 remains tightly contested, with 94°F or higher leading at 24.1% amid upper-level ridging forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting subsidence and clear skies boosting peak heating to near-record levels. Closely trailing 86-87°F (19.5%) and 82-83°F (19.0%) reflect uncertainty in Gulf moisture influx and boundary layer clouds, as warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs around 72°F) could temper highs via shallow marine stratus. Historical March data shows volatility, with urban heat island effects amplifying 2-3°F in Houston; upcoming 18Z model runs will clarify ridge amplitude versus weak frontal timing, key to resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on March 27?
Highest temperature in Houston on March 27?
86-87°F 20%
82-83°F 17%
84-85°F 14%
78-79°F 10%
75°F or below
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
5%
94°F or higher
24%
86-87°F 20%
82-83°F 17%
84-85°F 14%
78-79°F 10%
75°F or below
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
5%
94°F or higher
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Houston's highest temperature on March 27 remains tightly contested, with 94°F or higher leading at 24.1% amid upper-level ridging forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting subsidence and clear skies boosting peak heating to near-record levels. Closely trailing 86-87°F (19.5%) and 82-83°F (19.0%) reflect uncertainty in Gulf moisture influx and boundary layer clouds, as warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs around 72°F) could temper highs via shallow marine stratus. Historical March data shows volatility, with urban heat island effects amplifying 2-3°F in Houston; upcoming 18Z model runs will clarify ridge amplitude versus weak frontal timing, key to resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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