Trader consensus favors 32°C or higher at 50% implied probability for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from models aggregated by AccuWeather, Weather.com, and TimeAndDate.com, projecting daytime highs of 29–32°C amid partly cloudy skies and high humidity above 70%. Recent observations show early April warmth with airport station readings nearing 29°C on April 14, bolstered by persistent subtropical high pressure and light winds favoring daytime heating at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport, the market's resolution site. However, scattered afternoon showers in some guidance introduce uncertainty, elevating odds for cooler outcomes like 24°C (35.5%) or 27°C (35.5%) if cloud cover and precipitation suppress peaks. Updated China Meteorological Administration bulletins expected by April 16 could shift model consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
28°C 28%
27°C 18%
29°C 17%
30°C 15%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
10%
27°C
18%
28°C
28%
29°C
17%
30°C
15%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 28%
27°C 18%
29°C 17%
30°C 15%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
10%
27°C
18%
28°C
28%
29°C
17%
30°C
15%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 32°C or higher at 50% implied probability for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from models aggregated by AccuWeather, Weather.com, and TimeAndDate.com, projecting daytime highs of 29–32°C amid partly cloudy skies and high humidity above 70%. Recent observations show early April warmth with airport station readings nearing 29°C on April 14, bolstered by persistent subtropical high pressure and light winds favoring daytime heating at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport, the market's resolution site. However, scattered afternoon showers in some guidance introduce uncertainty, elevating odds for cooler outcomes like 24°C (35.5%) or 27°C (35.5%) if cloud cover and precipitation suppress peaks. Updated China Meteorological Administration bulletins expected by April 16 could shift model consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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