Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing with the SEC in early June 2026 has emerged as the clearest near-term catalyst, pushing its implied probability of an IPO before 2027 to roughly 83-84% on Polymarket amid a $900+ billion valuation and active pre-IPO fundraising. OpenAI sits closer to even odds around 53%, reflecting CFO comments favoring a 2027 window, missed internal revenue targets, and ongoing legal matters despite banker discussions for a potential late-2026 debut. Broader market momentum favors AI infrastructure and developer platforms, with Discord showing solid momentum near 60% on its own filing path, while Databricks and Stripe remain more back-burnered due to timing and market-condition caveats. Key upcoming events include regulatory review timelines for filed S-1s and any fresh earnings or partnership updates that could shift sentiment before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSpaceX confirms IPO pricing and share count, finalizing largest IPO ever
SpaceX rises to 100%2%
On June 11, 2026, SpaceX confirmed the pricing of its IPO at $135 per share for 555,555,555 shares, finalizing the largest IPO in history. This official announcement solidified the market's resolution to 'Yes' for SpaceX's IPO.
OpenAI confidentially files for IPO targeting late 2026 debut
OpenAI confidentially filed its S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 8, 2026, aiming for a public debut as soon as September 2026 with a valuation between $730 billion and $850 billion. This filing positioned OpenAI as a major upcoming IPO in the AI sector alongside Anthropic.
SpaceX sets IPO price at $135 per share, targeting $75 billion raise
SpaceX jumps to 100%5%
SpaceX announced its IPO price at $135 per share in early June 2026, aiming to raise a record $75 billion. This pricing confirmed the IPO's imminent launch and drove the market price to 100% for SpaceX.
SpaceX sets IPO price at $135 per share targeting $75 billion raise
SpaceX rises to 99%3%
SpaceX announced an IPO price of $135 per share on June 2, 2026, aiming to raise a record $75 billion and valuing the company at $1.77 trillion. This pricing confirmed the company's position for the largest IPO ever, driving market confidence to near certainty.
Anthropic confidentially files for IPO targeting October 2026
Anthropic jumps to 80%7%
Anthropic filed a confidential S-1 with the SEC on June 1, 2026, aiming for a valuation near $965 billion and a public listing as early as October 2026. This filing marked Anthropic as the first AI lab to enter the public markets, significantly boosting market confidence in its IPO prospects.
SpaceX files for IPO revealing $18 billion revenue in 2025
SpaceX filed its S-1 with the SEC on May 20, 2026, targeting a valuation between $1.75 trillion and $2 trillion, marking one of the largest IPOs in history. The filing disclosed $18 billion in 2025 revenue, with Starlink as the main revenue driver, fueling market confidence in the IPO.
SpaceX publicly files IPO prospectus and plans Nasdaq listing
SpaceX jumps to 95%10%
SpaceX publicly circulated its IPO prospectus in May 2026, confirming plans to list on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX. The filing disclosed $18.67 billion in 2025 revenue and a $1.75 trillion valuation, significantly boosting market confidence and price.
Shein faces regulatory investigations and IPO delays amid valuation pressure
Shein's IPO timeline has been delayed due to regulatory investigations in Europe and the US, including data privacy and labor practice concerns. These challenges have pressured its valuation and complicated its planned Hong Kong or London IPO in 2026.
Canva announces AI-driven platform transformation and acquisition spree
Canva drops to 11%12%
In April 2026, Canva announced a strategic pivot to AI-powered design ecosystem and acquired multiple AI startups, delaying its IPO to 2027 to solidify its new business model, impacting market confidence negatively in the short term.
SpaceX confidentially files S-1 for IPO targeting June 2026
SpaceX jumps to 85%11%
SpaceX confidentially filed its S-1 with the SEC in early April 2026, preparing for a June IPO. This filing was a critical step toward the public offering and drove significant market price increases for SpaceX's IPO outcome.
WHOOP raises $575 million at $10 billion valuation, signals IPO ahead
WHOOP surges to 39%21%
WHOOP closed a $575 million Series G funding round in March 2026 at a $10.1 billion valuation, with CEO Will Ahmed indicating this would likely be the last private round before an IPO. The company also announced plans to hire over 600 people in 2026, signaling preparation for a public listing.
Mistral AI raises $830 million debt for data center expansion
Mistral AI rises to 20%4%
Mistral AI secured $830 million in debt financing in March 2026 to expand data center capacity near Paris and Sweden, signaling growth but with no immediate IPO plans. The CEO has indicated the IPO is a long-term goal, not imminent, which aligns with the market's low IPO probability for 2026.
Rippling CEO states IPO not in near-term plans
Rippling plunges to 28%22%
In a May 2025 interview and subsequent reports through 2026, Rippling's CEO Parker Conrad publicly stated that an IPO is not planned in the near term, with analysts expecting a public offering in 2027 or 2028. This stance contributed to low market confidence in a 2026 IPO for Rippling.
Databricks raises $1.8 billion in debt signaling IPO preparation
Databricks plunges to 23%27%
Databricks secured $1.8 billion in additional debt financing led by JPMorgan in January 2026, indicating accelerated IPO preparation, though CEO Ali Ghodsi later stated 2026 is a "terrible year to go public," suggesting a delay.
Discord confidentially files for IPO, targeting Q1 2026 debut
Discord surges to 93%40%
Discord confidentially filed for a U.S. IPO in early January 2026, working with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase as underwriters, aiming for a public listing in the first half of 2026. This filing sparked significant market interest and price increases for Discord's IPO market outcome.
Discord confidentially files for US IPO targeting Q1-Q2 2026
Discord surges to 92%31%
Discord filed confidentially for a US IPO in early January 2026, with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase as underwriters, aiming for a public debut in the first half of 2026. This filing ended years of speculation and positioned Discord as a leading social platform IPO candidate.
Databricks announces $4 billion Series L funding at $134 billion valuation
Databricks jumps to 56%6%
Databricks raised $4 billion in a Series L funding round at a $134 billion valuation, signaling strong institutional interest and IPO preparation for 2026. This large funding round increased market confidence in a potential IPO.
Canva COO signals imminent IPO within next couple of years
Canva's COO Cliff Obrecht stated in November 2025 that an IPO is probably imminent within the next couple of years, fueling market expectations for a 2026 IPO. This announcement increased investor interest and price optimism for Canva's IPO.
Whoop CEO signals IPO consideration in 2026
Whoop's founder and CEO Will Ahmed publicly stated in November 2025 that the company is considering going public, signaling early market expectations for an IPO in 2026. This announcement contributed to initial market interest in Whoop's IPO prospects.






























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