Current forecasts from multiple models project overnight lows in Jeddah on September 3 near 28–30°C, aligning with the clustered market-implied odds around those levels. Seasonal norms place early-September minimums at approximately 27–29°C under typical Red Sea coastal conditions of high humidity, light northwest winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies. Limited day-to-day variability and stable high-pressure patterns support the tight distribution of probabilities, while minor differences among forecast runs—such as slight shifts in wind speed or dew points—account for the roughly equal weighting of 28–31°C outcomes. Traders appear to price in this narrow scientific uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Jeddah em 3 de setembro?
24°C ou menos 88%
25°C 49%
26°C 49%
27°C 49%
24°C ou menos
88%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
26%
29°C
27%
30°C
27%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
49%
34°C ou mais
2%
24°C ou menos 88%
25°C 49%
26°C 49%
27°C 49%
24°C ou menos
88%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
26%
29°C
27%
30°C
27%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
49%
34°C ou mais
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models project overnight lows in Jeddah on September 3 near 28–30°C, aligning with the clustered market-implied odds around those levels. Seasonal norms place early-September minimums at approximately 27–29°C under typical Red Sea coastal conditions of high humidity, light northwest winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies. Limited day-to-day variability and stable high-pressure patterns support the tight distribution of probabilities, while minor differences among forecast runs—such as slight shifts in wind speed or dew points—account for the roughly equal weighting of 28–31°C outcomes. Traders appear to price in this narrow scientific uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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