Recent Met Office and ECMWF model consensus shows clear skies and light winds under high pressure favoring radiative cooling, producing an overnight minimum near 13°C for London on June 13. This aligns with climatological June lows of 11–14°C and the latest high-resolution UKV runs, driving the market-implied 99.5% probability for that exact outcome. Traders weigh these verified forecast thresholds against resolution criteria tied to official observations. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or unforecast warm advection could realistically push the minimum above or below 13°C before final readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 13 de junho?
13°C 100.0%
9°C ou menos <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$15,645 Vol.
$15,645 Vol.
9°C ou menos
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Sim
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C ou mais
Não
13°C 100.0%
9°C ou menos <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$15,645 Vol.
$15,645 Vol.
9°C ou menos
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Sim
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent Met Office and ECMWF model consensus shows clear skies and light winds under high pressure favoring radiative cooling, producing an overnight minimum near 13°C for London on June 13. This aligns with climatological June lows of 11–14°C and the latest high-resolution UKV runs, driving the market-implied 99.5% probability for that exact outcome. Traders weigh these verified forecast thresholds against resolution criteria tied to official observations. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or unforecast warm advection could realistically push the minimum above or below 13°C before final readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions