**Current observational data and short-range forecast models from official meteorological agencies show Munich temperatures declining steadily toward an overnight low of 8°C under clear skies and light winds, producing strong radiative cooling.** This has driven near-certain trader consensus on the 8°C outcome, as real-time readings and model consensus align closely with that threshold by early morning. September climatology places the average low near 10.6°C, but the present calm, dry air mass enables greater cooling than typical. The market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of these conditions rather than a guarantee. A realistic shift could occur only if increased cloud cover or a late wind increase develops, limiting further temperature drop before official daily minimum is recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Munique no dia 11 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Munique no dia 11 de setembro?
8°C 100.0%
5°C ou menos <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$3,435 Vol.
$3,435 Vol.
11 set 2026
5°C ou menos
Não
6°C
Não
7°C
Não
8°C
Sim
9°C
Não
10°C
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C ou mais
Não
8°C 100.0%
5°C ou menos <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$3,435 Vol.
$3,435 Vol.
11 set 2026
5°C ou menos
$231 Vol.
Não
6°C
$488 Vol.
Não
7°C
$189 Vol.
Não
8°C
$122 Vol.
Sim
9°C
$112 Vol.
Não
10°C
$58 Vol.
Não
11°C
$1,136 Vol.
Não
12°C
$1,019 Vol.
Não
13°C
$27 Vol.
Não
14°C
$27 Vol.
Não
15°C ou mais
$27 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current observational data and short-range forecast models from official meteorological agencies show Munich temperatures declining steadily toward an overnight low of 8°C under clear skies and light winds, producing strong radiative cooling.** This has driven near-certain trader consensus on the 8°C outcome, as real-time readings and model consensus align closely with that threshold by early morning. September climatology places the average low near 10.6°C, but the present calm, dry air mass enables greater cooling than typical. The market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of these conditions rather than a guarantee. A realistic shift could occur only if increased cloud cover or a late wind increase develops, limiting further temperature drop before official daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,435Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current observational data and short-range forecast models from official meteorological agencies show Munich temperatures declining steadily toward an overnight low of 8°C under clear skies and light winds, producing strong radiative cooling.** This has driven near-certain trader consensus on the 8°C outcome, as real-time readings and model consensus align closely with that threshold by early morning. September climatology places the average low near 10.6°C, but the present calm, dry air mass enables greater cooling than typical. The market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of these conditions rather than a guarantee. A realistic shift could occur only if increased cloud cover or a late wind increase develops, limiting further temperature drop before official daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,435Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Current observational data and short-range forecast models from official meteorological agencies show Munich temperatures declining steadily toward an overnight low of 8°C under clear skies and light winds, producing strong radiative cooling.** This has driven near-certain trader consensus on the 8°C outcome, as real-time readings and model consensus align closely with that threshold by early morning. September climatology places the average low near 10.6°C, but the present calm, dry air mass enables greater cooling than typical. The market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of these conditions rather than a guarantee. A realistic shift could occur only if increased cloud cover or a late wind increase develops, limiting further temperature drop before official daily minimum is recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions