Weather forecasts from Singapore's National Environment Agency and regional models show a minimum temperature of 28°C on September 8, driving the market's 95% implied probability for that outcome. The city-state's equatorial climate produces narrow diurnal ranges with typical overnight lows near 25–27°C, and current atmospheric conditions—including stable trade winds and absence of significant convective cooling or monsoon surges—support this consensus. Historical September data from the Singapore Changi station indicate similar baselines without extreme deviations. Traders appear to weigh the low likelihood of rapid shifts from unexpected rainfall or wind changes before resolution, with final official readings expected from automated stations by late evening.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Singapura no dia 8 de setembro?
28°C 95%
27°C 14%
26°C 2%
22°C ou menos <1%
$3,666 Vol.
$3,666 Vol.
22°C ou menos
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Sim
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C ou mais
Não
28°C 95%
27°C 14%
26°C 2%
22°C ou menos <1%
$3,666 Vol.
$3,666 Vol.
22°C ou menos
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Sim
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Weather forecasts from Singapore's National Environment Agency and regional models show a minimum temperature of 28°C on September 8, driving the market's 95% implied probability for that outcome. The city-state's equatorial climate produces narrow diurnal ranges with typical overnight lows near 25–27°C, and current atmospheric conditions—including stable trade winds and absence of significant convective cooling or monsoon surges—support this consensus. Historical September data from the Singapore Changi station indicate similar baselines without extreme deviations. Traders appear to weigh the low likelihood of rapid shifts from unexpected rainfall or wind changes before resolution, with final official readings expected from automated stations by late evening.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions