Persistent monsoon moisture and widespread cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh are the main factors capping daytime heating in Lucknow on September 16, keeping maximum temperatures near 32°C according to the latest India Meteorological Department guidance of 34°C with light rain possible. Recent observations show highs of 33–34°C amid thundery showers and high humidity near 85%, while numerical models diverge modestly on rainfall timing and intensity that could further suppress peaks. Trader consensus reflected in the 61% implied probability for 32°C aligns with climatological September averages around 32–33°C and the moderating influence of easterly moisture flow, though any delay in showers or clearer breaks could push readings to 33°C or above. Updated IMD nowcasts and short-range model runs expected overnight will provide the next key inputs for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 16 de setembro?
32°C 61%
31°C 19%
33°C ou mais 18%
29°C 4%
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
19%
32°C
61%
33°C ou mais
18%
32°C 61%
31°C 19%
33°C ou mais 18%
29°C 4%
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
19%
32°C
61%
33°C ou mais
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon moisture and widespread cloud cover across Uttar Pradesh are the main factors capping daytime heating in Lucknow on September 16, keeping maximum temperatures near 32°C according to the latest India Meteorological Department guidance of 34°C with light rain possible. Recent observations show highs of 33–34°C amid thundery showers and high humidity near 85%, while numerical models diverge modestly on rainfall timing and intensity that could further suppress peaks. Trader consensus reflected in the 61% implied probability for 32°C aligns with climatological September averages around 32–33°C and the moderating influence of easterly moisture flow, though any delay in showers or clearer breaks could push readings to 33°C or above. Updated IMD nowcasts and short-range model runs expected overnight will provide the next key inputs for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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