Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Wuhan's September 2 low will likely settle near 22–24°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and northerly winds (3–5 levels, gusts to 6–7) associated with the decaying Shadel tropical cyclone remnant. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling while advecting slightly cooler continental air, keeping overnight minima above seasonal averages for early September. Model consensus shows limited overnight drops under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers possible, narrowing the range and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–24°C. Higher or sub-20°C outcomes remain low-probability without major forecast revisions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Wuhan no dia 2 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Wuhan no dia 2 de setembro?
24°C 50%
18°C 49%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
49%
19°C
48%
20°C
47%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
50%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
24°C 50%
18°C 49%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
17°C or below
$180 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$10 Vol.
49%
19°C
$104 Vol.
48%
20°C
$60 Vol.
47%
21°C
$0 Vol.
49%
22°C
$0 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
49%
24°C
$7 Vol.
50%
25°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$61 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Wuhan's September 2 low will likely settle near 22–24°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and northerly winds (3–5 levels, gusts to 6–7) associated with the decaying Shadel tropical cyclone remnant. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling while advecting slightly cooler continental air, keeping overnight minima above seasonal averages for early September. Model consensus shows limited overnight drops under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers possible, narrowing the range and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–24°C. Higher or sub-20°C outcomes remain low-probability without major forecast revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$552Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Wuhan's September 2 low will likely settle near 22–24°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and northerly winds (3–5 levels, gusts to 6–7) associated with the decaying Shadel tropical cyclone remnant. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling while advecting slightly cooler continental air, keeping overnight minima above seasonal averages for early September. Model consensus shows limited overnight drops under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers possible, narrowing the range and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–24°C. Higher or sub-20°C outcomes remain low-probability without major forecast revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$552Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Wuhan's September 2 low will likely settle near 22–24°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and northerly winds (3–5 levels, gusts to 6–7) associated with the decaying Shadel tropical cyclone remnant. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling while advecting slightly cooler continental air, keeping overnight minima above seasonal averages for early September. Model consensus shows limited overnight drops under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers possible, narrowing the range and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–24°C. Higher or sub-20°C outcomes remain low-probability without major forecast revisions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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