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icon for OpenAI IPO por...?
Finanças·OpenAI IPO

OpenAI IPO por...?

icon for OpenAI IPO por...?
Finanças·OpenAI IPO

OpenAI IPO por...?

$3,004,515 Vol.

30 jun 2027
Polymarket

$3,004,515 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de setembro de 2026

$145,301 Vol.

<1%

31 de dezembro de 2026

$1,013,990 Vol.

3%

March 31, 2027

$643 Vol.

23%

30 de junho de 2027

$86 Vol.

57%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Sam Altman’s September 12 statement that an OpenAI IPO would be “ill-advised” in 2026 due to artificial intelligence safety and alignment priorities has become the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment. After a confidential SEC filing in June targeting up to a $1 trillion valuation and earlier talk of a late-2026 window, the company has shifted focus to private fundraising, with reports of a potential $1.5 trillion round. CFO Sarah Friar told staff in August that a public listing is now expected in 2027 unless business metrics accelerate sharply. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s parallel IPO preparations, recent large language model capability debates, and broader regulatory scrutiny around frontier AI systems add further uncertainty, keeping market-implied odds tilted against a 2026 debut.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,004,515
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 3:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Sam Altman’s September 12 statement that an OpenAI IPO would be “ill-advised” in 2026 due to artificial intelligence safety and alignment priorities has become the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment. After a confidential SEC filing in June targeting up to a $1 trillion valuation and earlier talk of a late-2026 window, the company has shifted focus to private fundraising, with reports of a potential $1.5 trillion round. CFO Sarah Friar told staff in August that a public listing is now expected in 2027 unless business metrics accelerate sharply. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s parallel IPO preparations, recent large language model capability debates, and broader regulatory scrutiny around frontier AI systems add further uncertainty, keeping market-implied odds tilted against a 2026 debut.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,004,515
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 3:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"OpenAI IPO por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30 de junho de 2027" at 57%, followed by "March 31, 2027" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "OpenAI IPO por...?" has generated $3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "OpenAI IPO por...?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "OpenAI IPO por...?" is "30 de junho de 2027" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "March 31, 2027" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "OpenAI IPO por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.