Recent private funding rounds valuing Databricks at $190 billion in August 2026, following a $134 billion round earlier in the year, reflect accelerating revenue run rates above $7 billion with 80%+ year-over-year growth and positive free cash flow, driven by AI infrastructure demand. These fundamentals support market-implied odds clustered around the $150–450 billion closing market cap brackets, as traders weigh comparable AI-related multiples against a crowded 2026 IPO calendar that prompted CEO comments favoring a potential 2027 debut. The 23.5% probability assigned to no IPO by December 31, 2027, captures timing uncertainty, with any S-1 filing or shifts in Treasury yields and tech sector sentiment serving as near-term catalysts for repricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoUS$ 200B-US$ 250B 95%
US$300B-US$350B 95%
US$350B–US$400B 95%
US$250B-US$300B 94%
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2027
<US$150B
-
US$150B–US$200B
-
US$ 200B-US$ 250B
95%
US$250B-US$300B
94%
US$300B-US$350B
95%
US$350B–US$400B
95%
US$ 400B-US$ 450B
-
US$450B+
-
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
24%
US$ 200B-US$ 250B 95%
US$300B-US$350B 95%
US$350B–US$400B 95%
US$250B-US$300B 94%
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2027
<US$150B
$18 Vol.
-
US$150B–US$200B
$18 Vol.
-
US$ 200B-US$ 250B
$18 Vol.
95%
US$250B-US$300B
$18 Vol.
94%
US$300B-US$350B
$18 Vol.
95%
US$350B–US$400B
$18 Vol.
95%
US$ 400B-US$ 450B
$18 Vol.
-
US$450B+
$18 Vol.
-
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
$272 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Recent private funding rounds valuing Databricks at $190 billion in August 2026, following a $134 billion round earlier in the year, reflect accelerating revenue run rates above $7 billion with 80%+ year-over-year growth and positive free cash flow, driven by AI infrastructure demand. These fundamentals support market-implied odds clustered around the $150–450 billion closing market cap brackets, as traders weigh comparable AI-related multiples against a crowded 2026 IPO calendar that prompted CEO comments favoring a potential 2027 debut. The 23.5% probability assigned to no IPO by December 31, 2027, captures timing uncertainty, with any S-1 filing or shifts in Treasury yields and tech sector sentiment serving as near-term catalysts for repricing.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
Volume
$416Data de Término
1 jan 2028Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Recent private funding rounds valuing Databricks at $190 billion in August 2026, following a $134 billion round earlier in the year, reflect accelerating revenue run rates above $7 billion with 80%+ year-over-year growth and positive free cash flow, driven by AI infrastructure demand. These fundamentals support market-implied odds clustered around the $150–450 billion closing market cap brackets, as traders weigh comparable AI-related multiples against a crowded 2026 IPO calendar that prompted CEO comments favoring a potential 2027 debut. The 23.5% probability assigned to no IPO by December 31, 2027, captures timing uncertainty, with any S-1 filing or shifts in Treasury yields and tech sector sentiment serving as near-term catalysts for repricing.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$416Data de Término
1 jan 2028Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent private funding rounds valuing Databricks at $190 billion in August 2026, following a $134 billion round earlier in the year, reflect accelerating revenue run rates above $7 billion with 80%+ year-over-year growth and positive free cash flow, driven by AI infrastructure demand. These fundamentals support market-implied odds clustered around the $150–450 billion closing market cap brackets, as traders weigh comparable AI-related multiples against a crowded 2026 IPO calendar that prompted CEO comments favoring a potential 2027 debut. The 23.5% probability assigned to no IPO by December 31, 2027, captures timing uncertainty, with any S-1 filing or shifts in Treasury yields and tech sector sentiment serving as near-term catalysts for repricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions