Recent June PPI data, showing a 5.5% YoY rise that missed the 6.2% consensus amid a 0.3% monthly decline driven by energy and food price drops, has anchored trader sentiment for July's release. This unexpected deceleration from May's revised 6.0% level supports the 56.5% implied probability on ≤5.1%, with the 30.5% odds on 5.2% reflecting expectations of modest stabilization. Broader cooling in goods prices and softer core measures at 4.7% YoY reinforce the downside bias ahead of the August 13 release, though volatility in commodity inputs could still shift the final reading. Market pricing reflects aggregated capital at risk rather than certainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado≤5,1% 56%
5,2% 31%
6,0%+ 7%
5,3% 6.0%
≤5,1%
56%
5,2%
31%
5,3%
6%
5,4%
4%
5,5%
1%
5,6%
2%
5,7%
4%
5,8%
3%
5,9%
3%
6,0%+
7%
≤5,1% 56%
5,2% 31%
6,0%+ 7%
5,3% 6.0%
≤5,1%
56%
5,2%
31%
5,3%
6%
5,4%
4%
5,5%
1%
5,6%
2%
5,7%
4%
5,8%
3%
5,9%
3%
6,0%+
7%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 16, 2026, 10:32 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June PPI data, showing a 5.5% YoY rise that missed the 6.2% consensus amid a 0.3% monthly decline driven by energy and food price drops, has anchored trader sentiment for July's release. This unexpected deceleration from May's revised 6.0% level supports the 56.5% implied probability on ≤5.1%, with the 30.5% odds on 5.2% reflecting expectations of modest stabilization. Broader cooling in goods prices and softer core measures at 4.7% YoY reinforce the downside bias ahead of the August 13 release, though volatility in commodity inputs could still shift the final reading. Market pricing reflects aggregated capital at risk rather than certainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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