Vladimir Putin maintains firm control over Russia's political system amid ongoing Ukraine negotiations and BRICS diplomacy, including recent calls with U.S. President Trump and meetings with Indian Prime Minister Modi. Traders price low probabilities of his departure by mid-2027 because no verified signs of health decline, elite fracture, or forced succession have emerged, despite intercepted reports of internal war-policy divides and economic pressures from the conflict. Putin continues public appearances, economic statements, and military directives while the constitution permits another term after 2030. Upcoming factors include further U.S.-Russia envoy talks, parliamentary dynamics, and battlefield developments that could influence elite calculations without immediate triggers for removal.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoKremlin expects trilateral negotiations on Ukraine to resume soon, signaling diplomatic engagement
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov indicated openness to renewed talks involving Russia, the US, and Ukraine, suggesting ongoing political maneuvering that influenced market views on Putin's political future.
Dozens of Moscow and St. Petersburg deputies petition for Putin's resignation
December 31, 2026 rises to 13%3%
Municipal deputies from Moscow and St. Petersburg publicly demanded Vladimir Putin's resignation, signaling internal political dissent. This event briefly raised market speculation about Putin's potential departure.




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