Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives and local councils in April 2026, following National Electoral Commission advice citing drought, regional security issues, and voter-registration challenges. This shifted the parliamentary vote—previously slated for May 2026—to March 2027 or later, aligning with the market’s 98.4% consensus on no election before 2027. The three authorized national parties (Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID) plus the newer Kaah party continue preparations under the six-region proportional system, but the extension reflects institutional focus on operational readiness amid ongoing eastern-region instability. An unexpected reversal would require a new Guurti vote, rapid security or climatic improvements, or successful legal challenge to the mandate extension before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor das eleições parlamentares da Somalilândia
Vencedor das eleições parlamentares da Somalilândia
Nenhuma eleição antes de 2027 98.4%
Justiça e Bem-Estar (UCID) <1%
Kulmiye <1%
Waddani <1%
$111,861 Vol.
$111,861 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Nenhuma eleição antes de 2027
98%
Justiça e Bem-Estar (UCID)
1%
Kulmiye
<1%
Waddani
<1%
Nenhuma eleição antes de 2027 98.4%
Justiça e Bem-Estar (UCID) <1%
Kulmiye <1%
Waddani <1%
$111,861 Vol.
$111,861 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Nenhuma eleição antes de 2027
$98,207 Vol.
98%
Justiça e Bem-Estar (UCID)
$5,116 Vol.
1%
Kulmiye
$3,783 Vol.
<1%
Waddani
$4,756 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives and local councils in April 2026, following National Electoral Commission advice citing drought, regional security issues, and voter-registration challenges. This shifted the parliamentary vote—previously slated for May 2026—to March 2027 or later, aligning with the market’s 98.4% consensus on no election before 2027. The three authorized national parties (Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID) plus the newer Kaah party continue preparations under the six-region proportional system, but the extension reflects institutional focus on operational readiness amid ongoing eastern-region instability. An unexpected reversal would require a new Guurti vote, rapid security or climatic improvements, or successful legal challenge to the mandate extension before year-end.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Volume
$111,861Data de Término
31 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives and local councils in April 2026, following National Electoral Commission advice citing drought, regional security issues, and voter-registration challenges. This shifted the parliamentary vote—previously slated for May 2026—to March 2027 or later, aligning with the market’s 98.4% consensus on no election before 2027. The three authorized national parties (Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID) plus the newer Kaah party continue preparations under the six-region proportional system, but the extension reflects institutional focus on operational readiness amid ongoing eastern-region instability. An unexpected reversal would require a new Guurti vote, rapid security or climatic improvements, or successful legal challenge to the mandate extension before year-end.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Volume
$111,861Data de Término
31 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives and local councils in April 2026, following National Electoral Commission advice citing drought, regional security issues, and voter-registration challenges. This shifted the parliamentary vote—previously slated for May 2026—to March 2027 or later, aligning with the market’s 98.4% consensus on no election before 2027. The three authorized national parties (Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID) plus the newer Kaah party continue preparations under the six-region proportional system, but the extension reflects institutional focus on operational readiness amid ongoing eastern-region instability. An unexpected reversal would require a new Guurti vote, rapid security or climatic improvements, or successful legal challenge to the mandate extension before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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