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SpaceX IPO Date

icon for SpaceX IPO Date

SpaceX IPO Date

June 12 68%

June 16 11%

June 15 10%

June 23 10%

Polymarket
NOVO

June 12 68%

June 16 11%

June 15 10%

June 23 10%

Polymarket
NOVO

June 1 or earlier

$101 Vol.

1%

June 2

$30 Vol.

3%

June 3

$252 Vol.

3%

June 4

$252 Vol.

3%

June 5

$35 Vol.

8%

June 8

$118 Vol.

1%

June 9

$253 Vol.

4%

June 10

$252 Vol.

7%

June 11

$319 Vol.

1%

June 12

$1,055 Vol.

70%

June 15

$358 Vol.

10%

June 16

$137 Vol.

11%

June 17

$136 Vol.

1%

June 18

$137 Vol.

1%

June 22

$252 Vol.

4%

June 23

$27 Vol.

10%

June 24

$252 Vol.

4%

June 25

$334 Vol.

5%

June 26

$252 Vol.

4%

June 29

$253 Vol.

4%

June 30 or later

$332 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that SpaceX launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO). For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent regulatory progress and an accelerated filing timeline have positioned mid-June as the consensus window for SpaceX’s IPO, with traders assigning a 72.5% implied probability to June 12. The company’s confidential S-1 submission in early April, followed by a faster-than-expected SEC review, enabled the shift to a Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX and a potential roadshow launch around June 4. This development aligns with Elon Musk’s recent comments emphasizing urgency, while broader market conditions—including robust institutional demand for high-growth aerospace and AI-related assets—support the compressed schedule. Key upcoming milestones include the public prospectus release and final pricing, which could refine resolution odds ahead of the targeted share sale.

This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that SpaceX launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO).

For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,138
Data de Término
29 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 20, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that SpaceX launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO). For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that SpaceX launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO). For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent regulatory progress and an accelerated filing timeline have positioned mid-June as the consensus window for SpaceX’s IPO, with traders assigning a 72.5% implied probability to June 12. The company’s confidential S-1 submission in early April, followed by a faster-than-expected SEC review, enabled the shift to a Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX and a potential roadshow launch around June 4. This development aligns with Elon Musk’s recent comments emphasizing urgency, while broader market conditions—including robust institutional demand for high-growth aerospace and AI-related assets—support the compressed schedule. Key upcoming milestones include the public prospectus release and final pricing, which could refine resolution odds ahead of the targeted share sale.

This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that SpaceX launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO).

For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,138
Data de Término
29 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 20, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that SpaceX launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO). For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"SpaceX IPO Date" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "June 12" at 70%, followed by "June 16" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"SpaceX IPO Date" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "SpaceX IPO Date," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SpaceX IPO Date" is "June 12" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "June 16" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SpaceX IPO Date" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.