Skip to main content
Market icon

A Rússia voltará ao G7 antes de 2027?

Market icon

A Rússia voltará ao G7 antes de 2027?

dez 31

dez 31

Sim

9% chance
Polymarket

$10,487 Vol.

Sim

9% chance
Polymarket

$10,487 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7. A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Russia not rejoining the G7 before 2027, driven by the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war and G7 solidarity with Kyiv. Russia was suspended from the G8—reverting it to G7—after the 2014 Crimea annexation, with isolation intensifying post-2022 full-scale invasion amid sustained sanctions and diplomatic freezes. A February 2026 G7 leaders' statement on the war's fourth anniversary, including from U.S. President Trump, reaffirmed "unwavering support" for Ukraine and urged good-faith negotiations between Moscow and Kyiv, without signaling readmission. Despite Trump's late 2025 peace plan floats for Russia's return, European allies like Germany and the UK rejected them outright, underscoring barriers absent major de-escalation or consensus shift ahead of 2026 summits.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.

A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$10,487
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7. A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7. A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Russia not rejoining the G7 before 2027, driven by the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war and G7 solidarity with Kyiv. Russia was suspended from the G8—reverting it to G7—after the 2014 Crimea annexation, with isolation intensifying post-2022 full-scale invasion amid sustained sanctions and diplomatic freezes. A February 2026 G7 leaders' statement on the war's fourth anniversary, including from U.S. President Trump, reaffirmed "unwavering support" for Ukraine and urged good-faith negotiations between Moscow and Kyiv, without signaling readmission. Despite Trump's late 2025 peace plan floats for Russia's return, European allies like Germany and the UK rejected them outright, underscoring barriers absent major de-escalation or consensus shift ahead of 2026 summits.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.

A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$10,487
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7. A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"A Rússia voltará ao G7 antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A Rússia voltará a integrar o G7 antes de 2027?" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "A Rússia voltará ao G7 antes de 2027?" has generated $10.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "A Rússia voltará ao G7 antes de 2027?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "A Rússia voltará ao G7 antes de 2027?" is "A Rússia voltará a integrar o G7 antes de 2027?" at just 9%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "A Rússia voltará ao G7 antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.