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Política·Trump

Trump vai acabar com o Departamento de Educação antes de 2027?

Market icon
Política·Trump

Trump vai acabar com o Departamento de Educação antes de 2027?

dez 31

dez 31

Sim

6% acaso
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

6% acaso
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump administration efforts to dismantle the Department of Education through executive actions—including a March 2025 order directing program transfers to agencies like Labor and Health and Human Services, staff reductions exceeding 50%, and March 2026 headquarters relocation—have significantly shrunk its operations, yet the cabinet-level agency persists with ongoing functions like fraud oversight as of April 2026. Full termination requires congressional legislation, such as stalled H.R.899 introduced in January 2025 and stuck in House committee with no Senate action. Traders' 95% consensus on "No" reflects this legislative impasse and tight timeline before 2027, despite transfers of K-12 oversight and school safety grants earlier this year.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.

If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$9,423
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 19, 2025, 3:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump administration efforts to dismantle the Department of Education through executive actions—including a March 2025 order directing program transfers to agencies like Labor and Health and Human Services, staff reductions exceeding 50%, and March 2026 headquarters relocation—have significantly shrunk its operations, yet the cabinet-level agency persists with ongoing functions like fraud oversight as of April 2026. Full termination requires congressional legislation, such as stalled H.R.899 introduced in January 2025 and stuck in House committee with no Senate action. Traders' 95% consensus on "No" reflects this legislative impasse and tight timeline before 2027, despite transfers of K-12 oversight and school safety grants earlier this year.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.

If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$9,423
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 19, 2025, 3:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump vai acabar com o Departamento de Educação antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Trump encerrará o Departamento de Educação antes de 2027?" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 6¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 6% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Trump vai acabar com o Departamento de Educação antes de 2027?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 19, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Trump vai acabar com o Departamento de Educação antes de 2027?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Trump vai acabar com o Departamento de Educação antes de 2027?" is "Trump encerrará o Departamento de Educação antes de 2027?" at just 6%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Trump vai acabar com o Departamento de Educação antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.