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Hormoz previsões e probabilidades

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

17%

$20M Vol.

$1M today

$556K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

78%

July 31

$32M Vol.

$817K today

$223K Liq.

614

Ends em 17 dias

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

50%

$5M Vol.

$505K today

$162K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

<1%

$8M Vol.

$438K today

$1M Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

84%

$1M Vol.

$290K today

$194K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

36%

Bahrain

$454K Vol.

$262K today

$70.6K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

54%

20+

$273K Vol.

$51.2K today

$80.6K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

24%

$197K Vol.

$45.5K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 8?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 8?

66%

25-49

$36.8K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 15 horas

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

11%

$20.8K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

50%

0-10

$53.7K Vol.

$70.6K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

2%

$6.9K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 15?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 15?

45%

25-49

$0 Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

55%

Oil Sanction Relief

$2M Vol.

$215K today

$151K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (June 17)

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (June 17)

80%

AI 5+ times

$119 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Khamenei # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

82%

<5

$169 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends em 10 dias

Khamenei # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

90%

<5

$8.2K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

39%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$258K today

$110K Liq.

64

Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

88%

<5

$3.1K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

100%

June 30

$7M Vol.

$822K today

$4M Liq.

172

Ends em 17 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Hormoz.

Polymarket currently hosts 117 active markets for Hormoz that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $76.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 78% chance to July 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Hormoz predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.