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Политика·Выборы в США

Предложение по аудиту налоговых расходов в Калифорнии

icon for Предложение по аудиту налоговых расходов в Калифорнии
Политика·Выборы в США

Предложение по аудиту налоговых расходов в Калифорнии

нояб. 3

нояб. 3

нояб. 3

нояб. 3

нояб. 3

нояб. 3

нояб. 3

нояб. 3

Да

0% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

0% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
Proposition 41 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would audit new tax spending and ban new taxes from being exempt from the state spending cap, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California Proposition 41, requiring pre-election audits of special tax ballot initiatives after 25% signature thresholds plus recurring four-year audits of new special taxes enacted after January 1, 2026, qualified for the November 3, 2026 ballot in late June following signature validation by the Secretary of State. The measure also bars new taxes from exclusion under the state's voter-approved spending limit, positioning it as a direct competitor to Proposition 40's proposed billionaire wealth tax and similar initiatives. Trader consensus around 58.5% Yes reflects the proposal's emphasis on program effectiveness reviews and fiscal controls amid multiple overlapping tax measures, with outcomes likely hinging on voter turnout patterns and resolution of conflicting provisions on the same ballot. No major subsequent developments have shifted positioning since qualification.

Proposition 41 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would audit new tax spending and ban new taxes from being exempt from the state spending cap, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Объем
$1,067
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Proposition 41 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would audit new tax spending and ban new taxes from being exempt from the state spending cap, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Proposition 41 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would audit new tax spending and ban new taxes from being exempt from the state spending cap, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California Proposition 41, requiring pre-election audits of special tax ballot initiatives after 25% signature thresholds plus recurring four-year audits of new special taxes enacted after January 1, 2026, qualified for the November 3, 2026 ballot in late June following signature validation by the Secretary of State. The measure also bars new taxes from exclusion under the state's voter-approved spending limit, positioning it as a direct competitor to Proposition 40's proposed billionaire wealth tax and similar initiatives. Trader consensus around 58.5% Yes reflects the proposal's emphasis on program effectiveness reviews and fiscal controls amid multiple overlapping tax measures, with outcomes likely hinging on voter turnout patterns and resolution of conflicting provisions on the same ballot. No major subsequent developments have shifted positioning since qualification.

Proposition 41 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would audit new tax spending and ban new taxes from being exempt from the state spending cap, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Объем
$1,067
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Proposition 41 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would audit new tax spending and ban new taxes from being exempt from the state spending cap, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).

Связанные

icon for Запрет на ретроактивное налогообложение в Калифорнии

Запрет на ретроактивное налогообложение в Калифорнии

49%
Да
icon for Закон о налоге на богатство в Калифорнии побеждает противостоящие предложения?

Закон о налоге на богатство в Калифорнии побеждает противостоящие предложения?

44%
Да
icon for Калифорнийское предложение о финансировании клиник

Калифорнийское предложение о финансировании клиник

35%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Предложение по аудиту налоговых расходов в Калифорнии» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Проверка расходов на налоги в Калифорнии: предложение» с 59%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 59¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 59%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Предложение по аудиту налоговых расходов в Калифорнии» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jul 1, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Предложение по аудиту налоговых расходов в Калифорнии», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Предложение по аудиту налоговых расходов в Калифорнии» — «Проверка расходов на налоги в Калифорнии: предложение» с 59%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 59%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Предложение по аудиту налоговых расходов в Калифорнии» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.