Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on August 7 centers on a high near the seasonal normal of 83–84°F, with possible afternoon cloud cover, scattered showers, and Lake Michigan moderation limiting stronger heating. These conditions have anchored trader consensus on the 84–85°F and 86–87°F bins, which together capture over 70% of market-implied probability. Recent model runs show limited spread due to stable steering patterns and no incoming heat dome, keeping upside risk for 88°F+ low while reducing chances of sub-82°F readings. Official observations and updated short-range forecasts will determine the final high relative to these thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чикаго 7 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 7 августа?
84-85°F 44%
86-87°F 28%
82-83°F 21%
88-89°F 6%
НОВОЕ
$11,689 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,689 Объем
7 авг. 2026 г.
75°F или ниже
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
44%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94°F или выше
<1%
84-85°F 44%
86-87°F 28%
82-83°F 21%
88-89°F 6%
НОВОЕ
$11,689 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,689 Объем
7 авг. 2026 г.
75°F или ниже
$1,624 Объем
<1%
76-77°F
$925 Объем
<1%
78-79°F
$313 Объем
<1%
80-81°F
$395 Объем
3%
82-83°F
$1,792 Объем
21%
84-85°F
$1,274 Объем
44%
86-87°F
$1,389 Объем
28%
88-89°F
$762 Объем
6%
90-91°F
$1,670 Объем
1%
92-93°F
$292 Объем
1%
94°F или выше
$1,252 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on August 7 centers on a high near the seasonal normal of 83–84°F, with possible afternoon cloud cover, scattered showers, and Lake Michigan moderation limiting stronger heating. These conditions have anchored trader consensus on the 84–85°F and 86–87°F bins, which together capture over 70% of market-implied probability. Recent model runs show limited spread due to stable steering patterns and no incoming heat dome, keeping upside risk for 88°F+ low while reducing chances of sub-82°F readings. Official observations and updated short-range forecasts will determine the final high relative to these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Объем
$11,689Дата окончания
7 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on August 7 centers on a high near the seasonal normal of 83–84°F, with possible afternoon cloud cover, scattered showers, and Lake Michigan moderation limiting stronger heating. These conditions have anchored trader consensus on the 84–85°F and 86–87°F bins, which together capture over 70% of market-implied probability. Recent model runs show limited spread due to stable steering patterns and no incoming heat dome, keeping upside risk for 88°F+ low while reducing chances of sub-82°F readings. Official observations and updated short-range forecasts will determine the final high relative to these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$11,689Дата окончания
7 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on August 7 centers on a high near the seasonal normal of 83–84°F, with possible afternoon cloud cover, scattered showers, and Lake Michigan moderation limiting stronger heating. These conditions have anchored trader consensus on the 84–85°F and 86–87°F bins, which together capture over 70% of market-implied probability. Recent model runs show limited spread due to stable steering patterns and no incoming heat dome, keeping upside risk for 88°F+ low while reducing chances of sub-82°F readings. Official observations and updated short-range forecasts will determine the final high relative to these thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы