Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters implied probabilities around 21-23°C for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid divergent model outputs from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. The CMA's April 2 update projected up to 26°C under multi-cloudy conditions shifting to showers, but traders discount higher outcomes due to increasing cloud cover and a 45% precipitation chance suppressing solar heating, as shown in timeanddate.com's 24°C ensemble high with overcast skies. Early April climatology averages 23°C highs with frequent frontal moisture from the Yangtze basin, differentiating lower bins if showers intensify versus clearing for 24°C+. Watch CMA's April 4 briefing for refined guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 5?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 5?
23°C 25%
22°C 22%
21°C 19%
24°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 апр. 2026 г.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
6%
21°C
19%
22°C
22%
23°C
25%
24°C
13%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
2%
23°C 25%
22°C 22%
21°C 19%
24°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 апр. 2026 г.
17°C or below
$1,046 Объем
<1%
18°C
$1,616 Объем
1%
19°C
$488 Объем
4%
20°C
$471 Объем
6%
21°C
$454 Объем
19%
22°C
$407 Объем
22%
23°C
$312 Объем
25%
24°C
$326 Объем
13%
25°C
$428 Объем
4%
26°C
$752 Объем
4%
27°C or higher
$378 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters implied probabilities around 21-23°C for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid divergent model outputs from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. The CMA's April 2 update projected up to 26°C under multi-cloudy conditions shifting to showers, but traders discount higher outcomes due to increasing cloud cover and a 45% precipitation chance suppressing solar heating, as shown in timeanddate.com's 24°C ensemble high with overcast skies. Early April climatology averages 23°C highs with frequent frontal moisture from the Yangtze basin, differentiating lower bins if showers intensify versus clearing for 24°C+. Watch CMA's April 4 briefing for refined guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Объем
$6,652Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:23 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters implied probabilities around 21-23°C for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid divergent model outputs from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. The CMA's April 2 update projected up to 26°C under multi-cloudy conditions shifting to showers, but traders discount higher outcomes due to increasing cloud cover and a 45% precipitation chance suppressing solar heating, as shown in timeanddate.com's 24°C ensemble high with overcast skies. Early April climatology averages 23°C highs with frequent frontal moisture from the Yangtze basin, differentiating lower bins if showers intensify versus clearing for 24°C+. Watch CMA's April 4 briefing for refined guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$6,652Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:23 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters implied probabilities around 21-23°C for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range forecasts amid divergent model outputs from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. The CMA's April 2 update projected up to 26°C under multi-cloudy conditions shifting to showers, but traders discount higher outcomes due to increasing cloud cover and a 45% precipitation chance suppressing solar heating, as shown in timeanddate.com's 24°C ensemble high with overcast skies. Early April climatology averages 23°C highs with frequent frontal moisture from the Yangtze basin, differentiating lower bins if showers intensify versus clearing for 24°C+. Watch CMA's April 4 briefing for refined guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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