Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 11°C (41.5% implied probability) as Helsinki's highest temperature today, edging out 12°C (32.5%), amid tight clustering driven by divergent global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's latest hourly outlook, updated this morning, projects a 9°C peak around 15:00–18:00 under light easterly winds (3–5 m/s), low precipitation risk, and partial cloud cover allowing modest solar heating. However, some ensemble members indicate upside potential to 11–12°C if skies clear faster or boundary-layer mixing enhances, differentiating outcomes by subtle insolation and advection variations. Real-time Helsinki-Vantaa Airport observations—key for resolution—plus afternoon FMI updates could tip the balance as the day progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Helsinki on April 12?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 12?
11°C 44%
12°C 31%
10°C 15%
13°C 7.2%
$30,121 Объем
$30,121 Объем
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
3%
10°C
15%
11°C
44%
12°C
31%
13°C
7%
14°C or higher
1%
11°C 44%
12°C 31%
10°C 15%
13°C 7.2%
$30,121 Объем
$30,121 Объем
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
3%
10°C
15%
11°C
44%
12°C
31%
13°C
7%
14°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 8, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 11°C (41.5% implied probability) as Helsinki's highest temperature today, edging out 12°C (32.5%), amid tight clustering driven by divergent global forecast models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's latest hourly outlook, updated this morning, projects a 9°C peak around 15:00–18:00 under light easterly winds (3–5 m/s), low precipitation risk, and partial cloud cover allowing modest solar heating. However, some ensemble members indicate upside potential to 11–12°C if skies clear faster or boundary-layer mixing enhances, differentiating outcomes by subtle insolation and advection variations. Real-time Helsinki-Vantaa Airport observations—key for resolution—plus afternoon FMI updates could tip the balance as the day progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы