Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 68.5% implied probability for Chengdu's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 12, driven by China Meteorological Administration forecasts showing a daytime peak of 25°C under cloudy skies with light rain possible overnight, corroborated by AccuWeather (74°F or 23°C) and Weather Underground (75°F or 24°C) model runs. This builds on April 10's observed 23°C high amid overcast conditions and April 11's warming from mid-teens morning lows, exceeding mid-April climatological averages of 22°C in the Sichuan Basin where persistent cloudiness often moderates peaks. Shower risks introduce uncertainty, supporting 23°C at 21%, with final resolution based on official ZUUU airport observations; updated model ensembles expected overnight could shift odds further.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 12?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 12?
24°C or higher 66%
23°C 21%
22°C 9%
21°C 3.5%
$20,777 Объем
$20,777 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
9%
23°C
21%
24°C or higher
66%
24°C or higher 66%
23°C 21%
22°C 9%
21°C 3.5%
$20,777 Объем
$20,777 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
14°C or below
$1,125 Объем
<1%
15°C
$1,808 Объем
<1%
16°C
$1,583 Объем
<1%
17°C
$850 Объем
<1%
18°C
$4,029 Объем
<1%
19°C
$2,124 Объем
<1%
20°C
$2,037 Объем
1%
21°C
$1,297 Объем
4%
22°C
$939 Объем
9%
23°C
$1,775 Объем
21%
24°C or higher
$3,224 Объем
66%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 68.5% implied probability for Chengdu's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 12, driven by China Meteorological Administration forecasts showing a daytime peak of 25°C under cloudy skies with light rain possible overnight, corroborated by AccuWeather (74°F or 23°C) and Weather Underground (75°F or 24°C) model runs. This builds on April 10's observed 23°C high amid overcast conditions and April 11's warming from mid-teens morning lows, exceeding mid-April climatological averages of 22°C in the Sichuan Basin where persistent cloudiness often moderates peaks. Shower risks introduce uncertainty, supporting 23°C at 21%, with final resolution based on official ZUUU airport observations; updated model ensembles expected overnight could shift odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 8, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Объем
$20,777Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 12:12 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 68.5% implied probability for Chengdu's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 12, driven by China Meteorological Administration forecasts showing a daytime peak of 25°C under cloudy skies with light rain possible overnight, corroborated by AccuWeather (74°F or 23°C) and Weather Underground (75°F or 24°C) model runs. This builds on April 10's observed 23°C high amid overcast conditions and April 11's warming from mid-teens morning lows, exceeding mid-April climatological averages of 22°C in the Sichuan Basin where persistent cloudiness often moderates peaks. Shower risks introduce uncertainty, supporting 23°C at 21%, with final resolution based on official ZUUU airport observations; updated model ensembles expected overnight could shift odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$20,777Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 12:12 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 68.5% implied probability for Chengdu's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 12, driven by China Meteorological Administration forecasts showing a daytime peak of 25°C under cloudy skies with light rain possible overnight, corroborated by AccuWeather (74°F or 23°C) and Weather Underground (75°F or 24°C) model runs. This builds on April 10's observed 23°C high amid overcast conditions and April 11's warming from mid-teens morning lows, exceeding mid-April climatological averages of 22°C in the Sichuan Basin where persistent cloudiness often moderates peaks. Shower risks introduce uncertainty, supporting 23°C at 21%, with final resolution based on official ZUUU airport observations; updated model ensembles expected overnight could shift odds further.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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