Latest numerical weather prediction runs from models such as GFS place Munich under a stable high-pressure regime on September 2, with daytime maxima forecast near 24–25 °C amid partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation. These conditions align closely with the market’s leading 25 °C outcome (55 % implied probability), while the 24 °C and 26 °C shares reflect minor ensemble spread and typical observational uncertainty of ±1 °C around the daily maximum. Historical September 2 averages near 22 °C provide context, but the current pattern shows modest positive anomalies without strong advection or insolation extremes that would push readings higher. Updated model guidance and official DWD observations tomorrow morning will refine the precise peak before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мюнхене 2 сентября?
25°C 55%
24°C 24%
26°C 18%
23°C 5%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
24%
25°C
55%
26°C
18%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 55%
24°C 24%
26°C 18%
23°C 5%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
24%
25°C
55%
26°C
18%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction runs from models such as GFS place Munich under a stable high-pressure regime on September 2, with daytime maxima forecast near 24–25 °C amid partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and negligible precipitation. These conditions align closely with the market’s leading 25 °C outcome (55 % implied probability), while the 24 °C and 26 °C shares reflect minor ensemble spread and typical observational uncertainty of ±1 °C around the daily maximum. Historical September 2 averages near 22 °C provide context, but the current pattern shows modest positive anomalies without strong advection or insolation extremes that would push readings higher. Updated model guidance and official DWD observations tomorrow morning will refine the precise peak before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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