Official NOAA observations from San Francisco International Airport (SFO), the market's resolution station, recorded a high temperature of 66-67°F on April 29, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that bin as preliminary data finalized overnight. Persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed daytime heating, aligning with spring climatology where average April highs hover around 64°F amid La Niña-influenced patterns. Model forecasts from prior days had correctly anticipated this mild outcome, with no diurnal peaks exceeding the bin. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as instrument calibration errors—but historical audit rates for such adjustments remain below 1%, rendering shifts improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 29?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 29?
66-67°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$72,421 Объем
$72,421 Объем
29 апр. 2026 г.
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$72,421 Объем
$72,421 Объем
29 апр. 2026 г.
49°F or below
$1,315 Объем
No
50-51°F
$2,399 Объем
No
52-53°F
$1,971 Объем
No
54-55°F
$3,884 Объем
No
56-57°F
$4,188 Объем
No
58-59°F
$4,873 Объем
No
60-61°F
$7,384 Объем
No
62-63°F
$12,380 Объем
No
64-65°F
$12,106 Объем
No
66-67°F
$8,019 Объем
Yes
68°F or higher
$13,902 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations from San Francisco International Airport (SFO), the market's resolution station, recorded a high temperature of 66-67°F on April 29, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that bin as preliminary data finalized overnight. Persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed daytime heating, aligning with spring climatology where average April highs hover around 64°F amid La Niña-influenced patterns. Model forecasts from prior days had correctly anticipated this mild outcome, with no diurnal peaks exceeding the bin. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as instrument calibration errors—but historical audit rates for such adjustments remain below 1%, rendering shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 27, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Объем
$72,421Дата окончания
29 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 12:10 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations from San Francisco International Airport (SFO), the market's resolution station, recorded a high temperature of 66-67°F on April 29, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that bin as preliminary data finalized overnight. Persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed daytime heating, aligning with spring climatology where average April highs hover around 64°F amid La Niña-influenced patterns. Model forecasts from prior days had correctly anticipated this mild outcome, with no diurnal peaks exceeding the bin. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as instrument calibration errors—but historical audit rates for such adjustments remain below 1%, rendering shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$72,421Дата окончания
29 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 12:10 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official NOAA observations from San Francisco International Airport (SFO), the market's resolution station, recorded a high temperature of 66-67°F on April 29, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that bin as preliminary data finalized overnight. Persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed daytime heating, aligning with spring climatology where average April highs hover around 64°F amid La Niña-influenced patterns. Model forecasts from prior days had correctly anticipated this mild outcome, with no diurnal peaks exceeding the bin. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as instrument calibration errors—but historical audit rates for such adjustments remain below 1%, rendering shifts improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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