Trader consensus favors 10-14 posts by the @khamenei_ir account next week at 29%, closely trailed by under 5 at 22%, reflecting erratic posting since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's martyrdom in early March 2026 US-Israeli airstrikes and his son Mojtaba's ascension as supreme leader around March 8. Recent weeks show variability—two posts April 7-14 amid Easter-themed messages on April 5 boosting the prior period to five—driven by archival statements timed to holidays, anti-Zionist rhetoric, and US critiques amid escalating regional tensions with Israel and proxies in Lebanon, Yemen, and Iraq. New leader's reported minor injury in mid-March and sparse public appearances fuel uncertainty on messaging cadence, keeping lower bins competitive; intensified conflict or holidays could spike volume, while leadership consolidation might suppress it.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоKhamenei # posts April 17 - April 24, 2026?
Khamenei # posts April 17 - April 24, 2026?
10-14 29.0%
35-39 16.0%
60+ 14.1%
<5 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 апр. 2026 г.
<5
29%
5-9
13%
10-14
29%
15–19
11%
20-24
11%
25-29
6%
30–34
2%
35-39
16%
40-44
3%
45–49
2%
50-54
5%
55-59
1%
60+
12%
10-14 29.0%
35-39 16.0%
60+ 14.1%
<5 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 апр. 2026 г.
<5
$262 Объем
29%
5-9
$263 Объем
13%
10-14
$274 Объем
29%
15–19
$219 Объем
11%
20-24
$235 Объем
11%
25-29
$311 Объем
6%
30–34
$190 Объем
2%
35-39
$217 Объем
16%
40-44
$233 Объем
3%
45–49
$239 Объем
2%
50-54
$230 Объем
5%
55-59
$225 Объем
1%
60+
$262 Объем
12%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors 10-14 posts by the @khamenei_ir account next week at 29%, closely trailed by under 5 at 22%, reflecting erratic posting since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's martyrdom in early March 2026 US-Israeli airstrikes and his son Mojtaba's ascension as supreme leader around March 8. Recent weeks show variability—two posts April 7-14 amid Easter-themed messages on April 5 boosting the prior period to five—driven by archival statements timed to holidays, anti-Zionist rhetoric, and US critiques amid escalating regional tensions with Israel and proxies in Lebanon, Yemen, and Iraq. New leader's reported minor injury in mid-March and sparse public appearances fuel uncertainty on messaging cadence, keeping lower bins competitive; intensified conflict or holidays could spike volume, while leadership consolidation might suppress it.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Объем
$3,159Дата окончания
24 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors 10-14 posts by the @khamenei_ir account next week at 29%, closely trailed by under 5 at 22%, reflecting erratic posting since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's martyrdom in early March 2026 US-Israeli airstrikes and his son Mojtaba's ascension as supreme leader around March 8. Recent weeks show variability—two posts April 7-14 amid Easter-themed messages on April 5 boosting the prior period to five—driven by archival statements timed to holidays, anti-Zionist rhetoric, and US critiques amid escalating regional tensions with Israel and proxies in Lebanon, Yemen, and Iraq. New leader's reported minor injury in mid-March and sparse public appearances fuel uncertainty on messaging cadence, keeping lower bins competitive; intensified conflict or holidays could spike volume, while leadership consolidation might suppress it.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$3,159Дата окончания
24 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 10-14 posts by the @khamenei_ir account next week at 29%, closely trailed by under 5 at 22%, reflecting erratic posting since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's martyrdom in early March 2026 US-Israeli airstrikes and his son Mojtaba's ascension as supreme leader around March 8. Recent weeks show variability—two posts April 7-14 amid Easter-themed messages on April 5 boosting the prior period to five—driven by archival statements timed to holidays, anti-Zionist rhetoric, and US critiques amid escalating regional tensions with Israel and proxies in Lebanon, Yemen, and Iraq. New leader's reported minor injury in mid-March and sparse public appearances fuel uncertainty on messaging cadence, keeping lower bins competitive; intensified conflict or holidays could spike volume, while leadership consolidation might suppress it.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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