Current forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a minimum temperature of 14–15°C in Helsinki on August 29, supported by southerly flow advecting mild maritime air and dew points near 14°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Partial cloud cover and light-to-moderate winds (5–8 m/s) are expected to further moderate temperature drops compared with clear-sky conditions. Market-implied odds cluster around 11–14°C outcomes because small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed—common in late-summer transitional patterns—can alter the overnight minimum by 1–2°C, while the elevated 30% probability on 20°C+ reflects uncertainty over whether a stronger warm advection episode materializes. Historical August minima average near 13°C, providing context for the current mild setup.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Хельсинки 29 августа?
20°C or higher 60%
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
12°C 27%
10°C or below
5%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
8%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
60%
20°C or higher 60%
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
12°C 27%
10°C or below
5%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
8%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
60%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a minimum temperature of 14–15°C in Helsinki on August 29, supported by southerly flow advecting mild maritime air and dew points near 14°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Partial cloud cover and light-to-moderate winds (5–8 m/s) are expected to further moderate temperature drops compared with clear-sky conditions. Market-implied odds cluster around 11–14°C outcomes because small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed—common in late-summer transitional patterns—can alter the overnight minimum by 1–2°C, while the elevated 30% probability on 20°C+ reflects uncertainty over whether a stronger warm advection episode materializes. Historical August minima average near 13°C, providing context for the current mild setup.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы