Rhode Island’s entrenched Democratic advantage in statewide contests underpins trader consensus around a 91.5 percent probability for the party’s eventual nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the November 3, 2026 general election as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting stable voter registration patterns and the state’s recent electoral history. In the September 9 Democratic primary, businesswoman Helena Foulkes maintains a roughly 20-point lead over incumbent Governor Dan McKee in recent Emerson College and University of New Hampshire surveys, though McKee remains on the ballot. Fragmented Republican primary fields and limited visibility for those candidates, alongside independent Ken Block’s modest general-election support in early polling, further constrain opposition prospects. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unexpected primary reversal or unusually high independent turnout, but structural barriers limit realistic shifts before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоDemocrat 94%
Independent 3.5%
Republican <1%
$57,658 Объем
$57,658 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Democrat
94%
Independent
3%
Republican
1%
Democrat 94%
Independent 3.5%
Republican <1%
$57,658 Объем
$57,658 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Democrat
$47,897 Объем
94%
Independent
$948 Объем
3%
Republican
$8,814 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rhode Island’s entrenched Democratic advantage in statewide contests underpins trader consensus around a 91.5 percent probability for the party’s eventual nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the November 3, 2026 general election as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting stable voter registration patterns and the state’s recent electoral history. In the September 9 Democratic primary, businesswoman Helena Foulkes maintains a roughly 20-point lead over incumbent Governor Dan McKee in recent Emerson College and University of New Hampshire surveys, though McKee remains on the ballot. Fragmented Republican primary fields and limited visibility for those candidates, alongside independent Ken Block’s modest general-election support in early polling, further constrain opposition prospects. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unexpected primary reversal or unusually high independent turnout, but structural barriers limit realistic shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Объем
$57,658Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rhode Island’s entrenched Democratic advantage in statewide contests underpins trader consensus around a 91.5 percent probability for the party’s eventual nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the November 3, 2026 general election as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting stable voter registration patterns and the state’s recent electoral history. In the September 9 Democratic primary, businesswoman Helena Foulkes maintains a roughly 20-point lead over incumbent Governor Dan McKee in recent Emerson College and University of New Hampshire surveys, though McKee remains on the ballot. Fragmented Republican primary fields and limited visibility for those candidates, alongside independent Ken Block’s modest general-election support in early polling, further constrain opposition prospects. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unexpected primary reversal or unusually high independent turnout, but structural barriers limit realistic shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$57,658Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rhode Island’s entrenched Democratic advantage in statewide contests underpins trader consensus around a 91.5 percent probability for the party’s eventual nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the November 3, 2026 general election as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting stable voter registration patterns and the state’s recent electoral history. In the September 9 Democratic primary, businesswoman Helena Foulkes maintains a roughly 20-point lead over incumbent Governor Dan McKee in recent Emerson College and University of New Hampshire surveys, though McKee remains on the ballot. Fragmented Republican primary fields and limited visibility for those candidates, alongside independent Ken Block’s modest general-election support in early polling, further constrain opposition prospects. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unexpected primary reversal or unusually high independent turnout, but structural barriers limit realistic shifts before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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