Stripe's overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of any S-1 filing, SEC registration, or banking mandates as of mid-June, alongside repeated statements from co-founders that the company is in no rush to go public. Recent tender offers have instead delivered liquidity at a $159 billion valuation in February 2026—up sharply from prior rounds—while processing volume exceeds $2 trillion annually, supporting continued private status amid favorable fintech conditions. This aligns with historical patterns of delayed listings for high-growth payments firms prioritizing operational milestones over rushed public market entry. A realistic shift would require an unexpected expedited filing and accelerated roadshow within the remaining days, though such timelines are rare absent major regulatory or market catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNo IPO by June 30, 2026 100.0%
<80B <1%
80–100B <1%
100–120B <1%
$271,042 Объем
$271,042 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
<80B
No
80–100B
No
100–120B
No
120–140B
No
140B+
No
No IPO by June 30, 2026
Yes
No IPO by June 30, 2026 100.0%
<80B <1%
80–100B <1%
100–120B <1%
$271,042 Объем
$271,042 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
<80B
$87,977 Объем
No
80–100B
$24,264 Объем
No
100–120B
$25,442 Объем
No
120–140B
$40,361 Объем
No
140B+
$29,317 Объем
No
No IPO by June 30, 2026
$63,681 Объем
Yes
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Stripe's overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of any S-1 filing, SEC registration, or banking mandates as of mid-June, alongside repeated statements from co-founders that the company is in no rush to go public. Recent tender offers have instead delivered liquidity at a $159 billion valuation in February 2026—up sharply from prior rounds—while processing volume exceeds $2 trillion annually, supporting continued private status amid favorable fintech conditions. This aligns with historical patterns of delayed listings for high-growth payments firms prioritizing operational milestones over rushed public market entry. A realistic shift would require an unexpected expedited filing and accelerated roadshow within the remaining days, though such timelines are rare absent major regulatory or market catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ET
Объем
$271,042Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Stripe's overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of any S-1 filing, SEC registration, or banking mandates as of mid-June, alongside repeated statements from co-founders that the company is in no rush to go public. Recent tender offers have instead delivered liquidity at a $159 billion valuation in February 2026—up sharply from prior rounds—while processing volume exceeds $2 trillion annually, supporting continued private status amid favorable fintech conditions. This aligns with historical patterns of delayed listings for high-growth payments firms prioritizing operational milestones over rushed public market entry. A realistic shift would require an unexpected expedited filing and accelerated roadshow within the remaining days, though such timelines are rare absent major regulatory or market catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$271,042Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Stripe's overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability of no IPO by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of any S-1 filing, SEC registration, or banking mandates as of mid-June, alongside repeated statements from co-founders that the company is in no rush to go public. Recent tender offers have instead delivered liquidity at a $159 billion valuation in February 2026—up sharply from prior rounds—while processing volume exceeds $2 trillion annually, supporting continued private status amid favorable fintech conditions. This aligns with historical patterns of delayed listings for high-growth payments firms prioritizing operational milestones over rushed public market entry. A realistic shift would require an unexpected expedited filing and accelerated roadshow within the remaining days, though such timelines are rare absent major regulatory or market catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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