President Trump has repeatedly signaled interest in acquiring Greenland and other areas through purchase or other means, including recent map posts and tariff threats tied to negotiations, yet no formal annexation has advanced past preliminary diplomatic talks. Denmark, Greenlandic leaders, and Canada have rejected cessions outright, while U.S. public polling shows overwhelming opposition to military options and congressional hurdles remain high under constitutional requirements for territorial acquisition. Ongoing Arctic security discussions and existing basing agreements have not produced ownership transfers, and international law plus allied pushback further constrain rapid action before year-end. These factors underpin trader consensus that annexation remains improbable in 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
5% вероятность
$156,625 Объем
$156,625 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
5% вероятность
$156,625 Объем
$156,625 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump has repeatedly signaled interest in acquiring Greenland and other areas through purchase or other means, including recent map posts and tariff threats tied to negotiations, yet no formal annexation has advanced past preliminary diplomatic talks. Denmark, Greenlandic leaders, and Canada have rejected cessions outright, while U.S. public polling shows overwhelming opposition to military options and congressional hurdles remain high under constitutional requirements for territorial acquisition. Ongoing Arctic security discussions and existing basing agreements have not produced ownership transfers, and international law plus allied pushback further constrain rapid action before year-end. These factors underpin trader consensus that annexation remains improbable in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Объем
$156,625Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump has repeatedly signaled interest in acquiring Greenland and other areas through purchase or other means, including recent map posts and tariff threats tied to negotiations, yet no formal annexation has advanced past preliminary diplomatic talks. Denmark, Greenlandic leaders, and Canada have rejected cessions outright, while U.S. public polling shows overwhelming opposition to military options and congressional hurdles remain high under constitutional requirements for territorial acquisition. Ongoing Arctic security discussions and existing basing agreements have not produced ownership transfers, and international law plus allied pushback further constrain rapid action before year-end. These factors underpin trader consensus that annexation remains improbable in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$156,625Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...President Trump has repeatedly signaled interest in acquiring Greenland and other areas through purchase or other means, including recent map posts and tariff threats tied to negotiations, yet no formal annexation has advanced past preliminary diplomatic talks. Denmark, Greenlandic leaders, and Canada have rejected cessions outright, while U.S. public polling shows overwhelming opposition to military options and congressional hurdles remain high under constitutional requirements for territorial acquisition. Ongoing Arctic security discussions and existing basing agreements have not produced ownership transfers, and international law plus allied pushback further constrain rapid action before year-end. These factors underpin trader consensus that annexation remains improbable in 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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