Recent inflation readings near 3.4% year-over-year and mixed labor market signals have kept the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% through the July FOMC meeting, where three members dissented in favor of a 25 basis point hike. This backdrop, combined with supply shocks and geopolitical tensions, supports trader consensus around a narrow 54.5% implied probability of at least one 2026 increase. Markets now price the September decision near even odds per FedWatch tools, with upcoming August CPI and the next FOMC statement as key swing factors that could shift expectations toward tighter policy or extended holds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
การปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
ใช่
55% โอกาส
$7,325,810 ปริมาณ
$7,325,810 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
ใช่
55% โอกาส
$7,325,810 ปริมาณ
$7,325,810 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent inflation readings near 3.4% year-over-year and mixed labor market signals have kept the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% through the July FOMC meeting, where three members dissented in favor of a 25 basis point hike. This backdrop, combined with supply shocks and geopolitical tensions, supports trader consensus around a narrow 54.5% implied probability of at least one 2026 increase. Markets now price the September decision near even odds per FedWatch tools, with upcoming August CPI and the next FOMC statement as key swing factors that could shift expectations toward tighter policy or extended holds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,325,810วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent inflation readings near 3.4% year-over-year and mixed labor market signals have kept the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% through the July FOMC meeting, where three members dissented in favor of a 25 basis point hike. This backdrop, combined with supply shocks and geopolitical tensions, supports trader consensus around a narrow 54.5% implied probability of at least one 2026 increase. Markets now price the September decision near even odds per FedWatch tools, with upcoming August CPI and the next FOMC statement as key swing factors that could shift expectations toward tighter policy or extended holds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,326,018วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent inflation readings near 3.4% year-over-year and mixed labor market signals have kept the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% through the July FOMC meeting, where three members dissented in favor of a 25 basis point hike. This backdrop, combined with supply shocks and geopolitical tensions, supports trader consensus around a narrow 54.5% implied probability of at least one 2026 increase. Markets now price the September decision near even odds per FedWatch tools, with upcoming August CPI and the next FOMC statement as key swing factors that could shift expectations toward tighter policy or extended holds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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