Hawkish FOMC projections and persistent inflation above the 2% target underpin the 67.5% market-implied odds of at least one federal funds rate hike in 2026. With the policy rate steady at 3.50–3.75% after the July 2026 meeting, the June dot plot showed a median expectation of one 25-basis-point increase by year-end, with nine of 18 participants penciling in a higher terminal rate. Chair Kevin Warsh’s emphasis on restoring price stability has reinforced this stance, as June CPI eased only modestly to 3.5% year-over-year. Traders are now monitoring upcoming CPI releases and labor data for signs that could either solidify the case for tightening or support a prolonged hold, consistent with the wisdom-of-crowds pricing embedded in real-capital markets.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
การปรับขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยของธนาคารกลางสหรัฐในปี 2026?
ใช่
$6,191,903 ปริมาณ
$6,191,903 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
ใช่
$6,191,903 ปริมาณ
$6,191,903 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hawkish FOMC projections and persistent inflation above the 2% target underpin the 67.5% market-implied odds of at least one federal funds rate hike in 2026. With the policy rate steady at 3.50–3.75% after the July 2026 meeting, the June dot plot showed a median expectation of one 25-basis-point increase by year-end, with nine of 18 participants penciling in a higher terminal rate. Chair Kevin Warsh’s emphasis on restoring price stability has reinforced this stance, as June CPI eased only modestly to 3.5% year-over-year. Traders are now monitoring upcoming CPI releases and labor data for signs that could either solidify the case for tightening or support a prolonged hold, consistent with the wisdom-of-crowds pricing embedded in real-capital markets.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,191,903วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hawkish FOMC projections and persistent inflation above the 2% target underpin the 67.5% market-implied odds of at least one federal funds rate hike in 2026. With the policy rate steady at 3.50–3.75% after the July 2026 meeting, the June dot plot showed a median expectation of one 25-basis-point increase by year-end, with nine of 18 participants penciling in a higher terminal rate. Chair Kevin Warsh’s emphasis on restoring price stability has reinforced this stance, as June CPI eased only modestly to 3.5% year-over-year. Traders are now monitoring upcoming CPI releases and labor data for signs that could either solidify the case for tightening or support a prolonged hold, consistent with the wisdom-of-crowds pricing embedded in real-capital markets.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,191,903วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hawkish FOMC projections and persistent inflation above the 2% target underpin the 67.5% market-implied odds of at least one federal funds rate hike in 2026. With the policy rate steady at 3.50–3.75% after the July 2026 meeting, the June dot plot showed a median expectation of one 25-basis-point increase by year-end, with nine of 18 participants penciling in a higher terminal rate. Chair Kevin Warsh’s emphasis on restoring price stability has reinforced this stance, as June CPI eased only modestly to 3.5% year-over-year. Traders are now monitoring upcoming CPI releases and labor data for signs that could either solidify the case for tightening or support a prolonged hold, consistent with the wisdom-of-crowds pricing embedded in real-capital markets.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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