The July FOMC's 9-3 hold decision at the 3.50-3.75% federal funds target range, featuring three hawkish dissents from regional presidents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, has anchored expectations for continued internal divisions at the September 15-16 meeting. Persistent inflation near 3.4% year-over-year, bolstered by energy price shocks, combined with recent minutes noting that several participants favored immediate tightening, sustains a contested policy path. The wide dispersion across outcomes from zero to four-plus dissents reflects uncertainty over whether additional voting members will align with the hawks ahead of key labor and PCE releases, with market-implied odds treating the September decision as finely balanced rather than a foregone conclusion.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
3 32%
4+ 21%
2 18%
0 16%
0
16%
1
16%
2
18%
3
34%
4+
21%
3 32%
4+ 21%
2 18%
0 16%
0
16%
1
16%
2
18%
3
34%
4+
21%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The July FOMC's 9-3 hold decision at the 3.50-3.75% federal funds target range, featuring three hawkish dissents from regional presidents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, has anchored expectations for continued internal divisions at the September 15-16 meeting. Persistent inflation near 3.4% year-over-year, bolstered by energy price shocks, combined with recent minutes noting that several participants favored immediate tightening, sustains a contested policy path. The wide dispersion across outcomes from zero to four-plus dissents reflects uncertainty over whether additional voting members will align with the hawks ahead of key labor and PCE releases, with market-implied odds treating the September decision as finely balanced rather than a foregone conclusion.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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