Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 22°C as Busan's highest temperature on April 20, 2026, backed by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing an early-day peak of 22°C amid hazy sunshine, followed by cooling to 17–18°C under mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds. This positioning reflects a sharp weather shift from mid-April's unseasonal heatwave (up to 27°C) to a cold wave advisory, with yellow dust influx suppressing further warming by reducing solar insolation and increasing cloud cover. Model consensus from KMA short-term forecasts aligns on no additional intensification, as incoming northerly flows cap highs. Realistic challenges would require improbable clear skies and downslope winds for a late-afternoon spike above 23°C, unlikely given current trajectories and evening descent. KMA updates expected overnight will finalize observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Busan on April 20?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 20?
22°C 100%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$73,074 ปริมาณ
$73,074 ปริมาณ
Apr 20, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$73,074 ปริมาณ
$73,074 ปริมาณ
Apr 20, 2026
15°C or below
$3,320 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$5,568 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$2,194 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$1,628 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$4,459 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$4,939 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$5,278 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$17,992 ปริมาณ
Yes
23°C
$5,691 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$9,911 ปริมาณ
No
25°C or higher
$12,094 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 22°C as Busan's highest temperature on April 20, 2026, backed by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing an early-day peak of 22°C amid hazy sunshine, followed by cooling to 17–18°C under mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds. This positioning reflects a sharp weather shift from mid-April's unseasonal heatwave (up to 27°C) to a cold wave advisory, with yellow dust influx suppressing further warming by reducing solar insolation and increasing cloud cover. Model consensus from KMA short-term forecasts aligns on no additional intensification, as incoming northerly flows cap highs. Realistic challenges would require improbable clear skies and downslope winds for a late-afternoon spike above 23°C, unlikely given current trajectories and evening descent. KMA updates expected overnight will finalize observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 18, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$73,074วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 18, 2026, 12:15 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 22°C as Busan's highest temperature on April 20, 2026, backed by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing an early-day peak of 22°C amid hazy sunshine, followed by cooling to 17–18°C under mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds. This positioning reflects a sharp weather shift from mid-April's unseasonal heatwave (up to 27°C) to a cold wave advisory, with yellow dust influx suppressing further warming by reducing solar insolation and increasing cloud cover. Model consensus from KMA short-term forecasts aligns on no additional intensification, as incoming northerly flows cap highs. Realistic challenges would require improbable clear skies and downslope winds for a late-afternoon spike above 23°C, unlikely given current trajectories and evening descent. KMA updates expected overnight will finalize observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$73,074วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 18, 2026, 12:15 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 22°C as Busan's highest temperature on April 20, 2026, backed by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing an early-day peak of 22°C amid hazy sunshine, followed by cooling to 17–18°C under mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds. This positioning reflects a sharp weather shift from mid-April's unseasonal heatwave (up to 27°C) to a cold wave advisory, with yellow dust influx suppressing further warming by reducing solar insolation and increasing cloud cover. Model consensus from KMA short-term forecasts aligns on no additional intensification, as incoming northerly flows cap highs. Realistic challenges would require improbable clear skies and downslope winds for a late-afternoon spike above 23°C, unlikely given current trajectories and evening descent. KMA updates expected overnight will finalize observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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