Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in São Paulo on April 19, 2026, anchored by official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport meteorological station, the market's designated resolution source per Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) protocols. A persistent mass of dry subtropical air suppressed cloud cover in the afternoon, allowing surface heating to peak at 28°C despite pre-event INMET forecasts of 26–27°C under partly cloudy conditions with low humidity around 50%. This aligns with historical April climatology for the region, where airport readings often exceed city averages by 1–2°C due to urban heat effects and exposure. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as data revisions from extended observations or instrument recalibration—are exceedingly rare, as INMET finalizes daily maxima within 24 hours using standardized World Meteorological Organization guidelines.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 19?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 19?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$75,899 ปริมาณ
$75,899 ปริมาณ
Apr 19, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$75,899 ปริมาณ
$75,899 ปริมาณ
Apr 19, 2026
23°C or below
$2,264 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$2,882 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$10,658 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$13,157 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$10,005 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$10,443 ปริมาณ
Yes
29°C
$9,735 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$7,576 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$4,390 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$2,512 ปริมาณ
No
33°C or higher
$2,276 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in São Paulo on April 19, 2026, anchored by official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport meteorological station, the market's designated resolution source per Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) protocols. A persistent mass of dry subtropical air suppressed cloud cover in the afternoon, allowing surface heating to peak at 28°C despite pre-event INMET forecasts of 26–27°C under partly cloudy conditions with low humidity around 50%. This aligns with historical April climatology for the region, where airport readings often exceed city averages by 1–2°C due to urban heat effects and exposure. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as data revisions from extended observations or instrument recalibration—are exceedingly rare, as INMET finalizes daily maxima within 24 hours using standardized World Meteorological Organization guidelines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$75,899วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in São Paulo on April 19, 2026, anchored by official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport meteorological station, the market's designated resolution source per Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) protocols. A persistent mass of dry subtropical air suppressed cloud cover in the afternoon, allowing surface heating to peak at 28°C despite pre-event INMET forecasts of 26–27°C under partly cloudy conditions with low humidity around 50%. This aligns with historical April climatology for the region, where airport readings often exceed city averages by 1–2°C due to urban heat effects and exposure. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as data revisions from extended observations or instrument recalibration—are exceedingly rare, as INMET finalizes daily maxima within 24 hours using standardized World Meteorological Organization guidelines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$75,899วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in São Paulo on April 19, 2026, anchored by official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport meteorological station, the market's designated resolution source per Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) protocols. A persistent mass of dry subtropical air suppressed cloud cover in the afternoon, allowing surface heating to peak at 28°C despite pre-event INMET forecasts of 26–27°C under partly cloudy conditions with low humidity around 50%. This aligns with historical April climatology for the region, where airport readings often exceed city averages by 1–2°C due to urban heat effects and exposure. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty—such as data revisions from extended observations or instrument recalibration—are exceedingly rare, as INMET finalizes daily maxima within 24 hours using standardized World Meteorological Organization guidelines.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย