Short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office, AccuWeather, and regional Mediterranean models converge on a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 19 under stable late-summer conditions. Typical sea-breeze moderation from the adjacent Mediterranean, light westerly winds, and clear skies limit further warming, producing minimal ensemble spread and low odds for 33°C or higher. These values sit slightly above the long-term August average near 30–31°C yet remain within climatological norms without anomalous subsidence or heat advection. Updated model runs represent the primary near-term catalyst for any shifts in the dominant 32°C and 31°C market-implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 19?
32°C 63%
31°C 32%
33°C 6%
30°C 2.0%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
32%
32°C
63%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 63%
31°C 32%
33°C 6%
30°C 2.0%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
32%
32°C
63%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office, AccuWeather, and regional Mediterranean models converge on a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 19 under stable late-summer conditions. Typical sea-breeze moderation from the adjacent Mediterranean, light westerly winds, and clear skies limit further warming, producing minimal ensemble spread and low odds for 33°C or higher. These values sit slightly above the long-term August average near 30–31°C yet remain within climatological norms without anomalous subsidence or heat advection. Updated model runs represent the primary near-term catalyst for any shifts in the dominant 32°C and 31°C market-implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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