Current forecast consensus from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 20 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant solar insolation, light westerly flow, and minimal heat advection. This narrow range, consistent with climatological baselines around 31–32°C and recent model runs showing stable high pressure without anomalous warming, drives the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C at 53% implied probability and 32°C at 40%. Small variations in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover could shift the peak across the threshold, while extremes remain improbable absent major pattern changes. Updated model outputs and observations through the weekend will refine resolution criteria.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 20?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 20?
33°C 53%
32°C 36%
34°C 7%
31°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
5%
32°C
36%
33°C
53%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 53%
32°C 36%
34°C 7%
31°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
29°C or below
$397 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$265 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$269 ปริมาณ
5%
32°C
$893 ปริมาณ
36%
33°C
$502 ปริมาณ
53%
34°C
$183 ปริมาณ
7%
35°C
$68 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C
$106 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C
$106 ปริมาณ
1%
38°C
$51 ปริมาณ
1%
39°C or higher
$206 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 20 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant solar insolation, light westerly flow, and minimal heat advection. This narrow range, consistent with climatological baselines around 31–32°C and recent model runs showing stable high pressure without anomalous warming, drives the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C at 53% implied probability and 32°C at 40%. Small variations in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover could shift the peak across the threshold, while extremes remain improbable absent major pattern changes. Updated model outputs and observations through the weekend will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,048วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 20 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant solar insolation, light westerly flow, and minimal heat advection. This narrow range, consistent with climatological baselines around 31–32°C and recent model runs showing stable high pressure without anomalous warming, drives the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C at 53% implied probability and 32°C at 40%. Small variations in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover could shift the peak across the threshold, while extremes remain improbable absent major pattern changes. Updated model outputs and observations through the weekend will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,048วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 20 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant solar insolation, light westerly flow, and minimal heat advection. This narrow range, consistent with climatological baselines around 31–32°C and recent model runs showing stable high pressure without anomalous warming, drives the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C at 53% implied probability and 32°C at 40%. Small variations in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover could shift the peak across the threshold, while extremes remain improbable absent major pattern changes. Updated model outputs and observations through the weekend will refine resolution criteria.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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