**Japan Meteorological Agency surface observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the official metric for this market—confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 20°C on April 26, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome.** This aligns with short-range forecast models from JMA and global ensembles predicting daytime highs near 20°C amid partly cloudy skies, moderate winds, and typical springtime atmospheric stability over the Kanto region, where April averages hover around 19–21°C. Historical data shows Haneda rarely sees late-day spikes beyond model guidance on such days. Realistic challenges include a rare post-preliminary data revision by JMA or an unverified outlier reading, though final validation is expected imminently with negligible risk of upward adjustment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 26?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 26?
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$119,828 ปริมาณ
$119,828 ปริมาณ
Apr 26, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$119,828 ปริมาณ
$119,828 ปริมาณ
Apr 26, 2026
13°C or below
$6,682 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$2,053 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$3,845 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$3,087 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$3,558 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$6,447 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$12,503 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$34,434 ปริมาณ
Yes
21°C
$23,002 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$16,283 ปริมาณ
No
23°C or higher
$7,934 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Japan Meteorological Agency surface observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the official metric for this market—confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 20°C on April 26, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome.** This aligns with short-range forecast models from JMA and global ensembles predicting daytime highs near 20°C amid partly cloudy skies, moderate winds, and typical springtime atmospheric stability over the Kanto region, where April averages hover around 19–21°C. Historical data shows Haneda rarely sees late-day spikes beyond model guidance on such days. Realistic challenges include a rare post-preliminary data revision by JMA or an unverified outlier reading, though final validation is expected imminently with negligible risk of upward adjustment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$119,828วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Japan Meteorological Agency surface observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the official metric for this market—confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 20°C on April 26, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome.** This aligns with short-range forecast models from JMA and global ensembles predicting daytime highs near 20°C amid partly cloudy skies, moderate winds, and typical springtime atmospheric stability over the Kanto region, where April averages hover around 19–21°C. Historical data shows Haneda rarely sees late-day spikes beyond model guidance on such days. Realistic challenges include a rare post-preliminary data revision by JMA or an unverified outlier reading, though final validation is expected imminently with negligible risk of upward adjustment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$119,828วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Japan Meteorological Agency surface observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station—the official metric for this market—confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 20°C on April 26, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on that outcome.** This aligns with short-range forecast models from JMA and global ensembles predicting daytime highs near 20°C amid partly cloudy skies, moderate winds, and typical springtime atmospheric stability over the Kanto region, where April averages hover around 19–21°C. Historical data shows Haneda rarely sees late-day spikes beyond model guidance on such days. Realistic challenges include a rare post-preliminary data revision by JMA or an unverified outlier reading, though final validation is expected imminently with negligible risk of upward adjustment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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