Current forecasts for Jinan indicate an overnight low near 26–27°C on August 25, consistent with typical late-summer conditions where daily lows average 21–24°C but are running warmer this season. This supports the overwhelming 99.4% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher, as official model consensus and recent observations show no significant cooling mechanisms such as strong frontal passages or anomalous high-pressure systems. Historical August data rarely produces lows below 20°C without unusual synoptic patterns, which are absent here. The slim chances for sub-22°C outcomes would require an improbable sharp temperature drop from unforecasted atmospheric shifts, unlikely given stable steering patterns and ongoing warm advection.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Jinan on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on August 25?
22°C or higher 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$3,657 ปริมาณ
$3,657 ปริมาณ
Aug 25, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
Yes
22°C or higher 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$3,657 ปริมาณ
$3,657 ปริมาณ
Aug 25, 2026
12°C or below
$195 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$195 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$195 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$195 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$427 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$121 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$90 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$220 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$90 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$372 ปริมาณ
No
22°C or higher
$1,558 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Jinan indicate an overnight low near 26–27°C on August 25, consistent with typical late-summer conditions where daily lows average 21–24°C but are running warmer this season. This supports the overwhelming 99.4% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher, as official model consensus and recent observations show no significant cooling mechanisms such as strong frontal passages or anomalous high-pressure systems. Historical August data rarely produces lows below 20°C without unusual synoptic patterns, which are absent here. The slim chances for sub-22°C outcomes would require an improbable sharp temperature drop from unforecasted atmospheric shifts, unlikely given stable steering patterns and ongoing warm advection.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,657วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Jinan indicate an overnight low near 26–27°C on August 25, consistent with typical late-summer conditions where daily lows average 21–24°C but are running warmer this season. This supports the overwhelming 99.4% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher, as official model consensus and recent observations show no significant cooling mechanisms such as strong frontal passages or anomalous high-pressure systems. Historical August data rarely produces lows below 20°C without unusual synoptic patterns, which are absent here. The slim chances for sub-22°C outcomes would require an improbable sharp temperature drop from unforecasted atmospheric shifts, unlikely given stable steering patterns and ongoing warm advection.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,657วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Current forecasts for Jinan indicate an overnight low near 26–27°C on August 25, consistent with typical late-summer conditions where daily lows average 21–24°C but are running warmer this season. This supports the overwhelming 99.4% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher, as official model consensus and recent observations show no significant cooling mechanisms such as strong frontal passages or anomalous high-pressure systems. Historical August data rarely produces lows below 20°C without unusual synoptic patterns, which are absent here. The slim chances for sub-22°C outcomes would require an improbable sharp temperature drop from unforecasted atmospheric shifts, unlikely given stable steering patterns and ongoing warm advection.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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