Forecast models for Munich show substantial uncertainty in the minimum temperature for September 14, with European and global ensembles split between cooler northerly flow and milder southerly or high-pressure influences. Recent analyses highlight variable jet stream positioning and potential frontal passages over central Europe that could deliver clear, radiational cooling under calm conditions or warmer advection from the south. Short-range guidance from agencies like the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicates the daily low could easily fall below 10°C with overnight clearing or remain near or above 18°C if cloud cover and winds persist, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds near 50 percent for the extreme ranges. Additional model updates and observational data in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thermal profiles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Munich on September 14?
9°C or below 97%
19°C or higher 92%
14°C 40%
10°C 38%
9°C or below
97%
10°C
38%
11°C
38%
12°C
38%
13°C
30%
14°C
40%
15°C
38%
16°C
38%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C or higher
92%
9°C or below 97%
19°C or higher 92%
14°C 40%
10°C 38%
9°C or below
97%
10°C
38%
11°C
38%
12°C
38%
13°C
30%
14°C
40%
15°C
38%
16°C
38%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C or higher
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Munich show substantial uncertainty in the minimum temperature for September 14, with European and global ensembles split between cooler northerly flow and milder southerly or high-pressure influences. Recent analyses highlight variable jet stream positioning and potential frontal passages over central Europe that could deliver clear, radiational cooling under calm conditions or warmer advection from the south. Short-range guidance from agencies like the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicates the daily low could easily fall below 10°C with overnight clearing or remain near or above 18°C if cloud cover and winds persist, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds near 50 percent for the extreme ranges. Additional model updates and observational data in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thermal profiles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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