Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting international models like ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on April 30 at exactly 10°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Current observations confirm early-morning readings around 9–11°C under clear skies and light winds, consistent with late-April climatology where overnight lows typically range 10–13°C amid mild southerly flows and no active cold fronts. High-confidence model ensembles show minimal spread, with radiative cooling limited by urban heat island effects in the megacity. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly prolonged clear conditions enhancing surface cooling to dip below 9°C briefly before dawn, though official station data (e.g., Pudong Airport) will finalize resolution by evening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on April 30?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on April 30?
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$9,940 ปริมาณ
$9,940 ปริมาณ
Apr 30, 2026
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$9,940 ปริมาณ
$9,940 ปริมาณ
Apr 30, 2026
5°C or below
$212 ปริมาณ
No
6°C
$304 ปริมาณ
No
7°C
$210 ปริมาณ
No
8°C
$290 ปริมาณ
No
9°C
$1,471 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$2,662 ปริมาณ
Yes
11°C
$718 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$717 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$728 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$2,052 ปริมาณ
No
15°C or higher
$574 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting international models like ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on April 30 at exactly 10°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Current observations confirm early-morning readings around 9–11°C under clear skies and light winds, consistent with late-April climatology where overnight lows typically range 10–13°C amid mild southerly flows and no active cold fronts. High-confidence model ensembles show minimal spread, with radiative cooling limited by urban heat island effects in the megacity. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly prolonged clear conditions enhancing surface cooling to dip below 9°C briefly before dawn, though official station data (e.g., Pudong Airport) will finalize resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,940วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting international models like ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on April 30 at exactly 10°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Current observations confirm early-morning readings around 9–11°C under clear skies and light winds, consistent with late-April climatology where overnight lows typically range 10–13°C amid mild southerly flows and no active cold fronts. High-confidence model ensembles show minimal spread, with radiative cooling limited by urban heat island effects in the megacity. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly prolonged clear conditions enhancing surface cooling to dip below 9°C briefly before dawn, though official station data (e.g., Pudong Airport) will finalize resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,940วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting international models like ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on April 30 at exactly 10°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Current observations confirm early-morning readings around 9–11°C under clear skies and light winds, consistent with late-April climatology where overnight lows typically range 10–13°C amid mild southerly flows and no active cold fronts. High-confidence model ensembles show minimal spread, with radiative cooling limited by urban heat island effects in the megacity. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly prolonged clear conditions enhancing surface cooling to dip below 9°C briefly before dawn, though official station data (e.g., Pudong Airport) will finalize resolution by evening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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