Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Tel Aviv's overnight low on September 12 will likely reach 24–25°C under stable high-pressure conditions, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northwest winds typical of the region's late-summer Mediterranean pattern. Sea-surface moderation and elevated humidity limit radiative cooling, keeping minimums well above historical September averages near 20°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 75% implied probability for 24°C, aligns closely with these official guidance runs, while lower probabilities for 23°C or below capture residual model spread and potential measurement variations at the primary reporting station. No significant synoptic shifts are expected before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 12?
24°C 98%
23°C 96%
20°C 76%
21°C 76%
19°C or below
39%
20°C
76%
21°C
76%
22°C
39%
23°C
96%
24°C
98%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 98%
23°C 96%
20°C 76%
21°C 76%
19°C or below
39%
20°C
76%
21°C
76%
22°C
39%
23°C
96%
24°C
98%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Tel Aviv's overnight low on September 12 will likely reach 24–25°C under stable high-pressure conditions, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northwest winds typical of the region's late-summer Mediterranean pattern. Sea-surface moderation and elevated humidity limit radiative cooling, keeping minimums well above historical September averages near 20°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 75% implied probability for 24°C, aligns closely with these official guidance runs, while lower probabilities for 23°C or below capture residual model spread and potential measurement variations at the primary reporting station. No significant synoptic shifts are expected before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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