The 76% implied probability for a one-time billionaire wealth tax appearing on California's November 2026 ballot reflects trader consensus on robust signature-gathering progress for Initiative 25-0024, with the campaign surpassing 5,000 volunteers and reporting 25% of the roughly 875,000 required signatures by early March 2026. Backed by SEIU health worker unions amid Medi-Cal funding shortfalls, the measure proposes a 5% levy on net worth over $1 billion to fund healthcare, education, and food assistance. Recent polls show majority voter support, bolstering momentum, though billionaire opponents like Sergey Brin have cleared counter-initiatives for circulation to potentially invalidate it if passed. Qualification hinges on submitting valid signatures by late July, with no major setbacks reported.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$90,404 Hac.
$90,404 Hac.
25 Haz 2026
Evet
$90,404 Hac.
$90,404 Hac.
25 Haz 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. The 76% implied probability for a one-time billionaire wealth tax appearing on California's November 2026 ballot reflects trader consensus on robust signature-gathering progress for Initiative 25-0024, with the campaign surpassing 5,000 volunteers and reporting 25% of the roughly 875,000 required signatures by early March 2026. Backed by SEIU health worker unions amid Medi-Cal funding shortfalls, the measure proposes a 5% levy on net worth over $1 billion to fund healthcare, education, and food assistance. Recent polls show majority voter support, bolstering momentum, though billionaire opponents like Sergey Brin have cleared counter-initiatives for circulation to potentially invalidate it if passed. Qualification hinges on submitting valid signatures by late July, with no major setbacks reported.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
Hacim
$90,404Bitiş Tarihi
25 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. The 76% implied probability for a one-time billionaire wealth tax appearing on California's November 2026 ballot reflects trader consensus on robust signature-gathering progress for Initiative 25-0024, with the campaign surpassing 5,000 volunteers and reporting 25% of the roughly 875,000 required signatures by early March 2026. Backed by SEIU health worker unions amid Medi-Cal funding shortfalls, the measure proposes a 5% levy on net worth over $1 billion to fund healthcare, education, and food assistance. Recent polls show majority voter support, bolstering momentum, though billionaire opponents like Sergey Brin have cleared counter-initiatives for circulation to potentially invalidate it if passed. Qualification hinges on submitting valid signatures by late July, with no major setbacks reported.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Hacim
$90,404Bitiş Tarihi
25 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 76% implied probability for a one-time billionaire wealth tax appearing on California's November 2026 ballot reflects trader consensus on robust signature-gathering progress for Initiative 25-0024, with the campaign surpassing 5,000 volunteers and reporting 25% of the roughly 875,000 required signatures by early March 2026. Backed by SEIU health worker unions amid Medi-Cal funding shortfalls, the measure proposes a 5% levy on net worth over $1 billion to fund healthcare, education, and food assistance. Recent polls show majority voter support, bolstering momentum, though billionaire opponents like Sergey Brin have cleared counter-initiatives for circulation to potentially invalidate it if passed. Qualification hinges on submitting valid signatures by late July, with no major setbacks reported.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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