Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026, but he stated in March he will serve in a holdover capacity until nominee Kevin Warsh receives Senate confirmation, driving trader consensus toward late May and early June outcomes amid a compressed timeline. President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Powell if he overstays has heightened uncertainty, while Warsh's April 21 Senate Banking Committee hearing—delayed multiple times due to Democratic opposition from figures like Sen. Elizabeth Warren over his $100 million-plus assets, crypto holdings, and an ongoing DOJ probe into Powell—keeps probabilities tightly clustered. FOMC meetings on April 28-29 and June 16-17 loom as potential catalysts; swift committee advancement could favor May 15-22 resolution, but holds from GOP Sens. like Thom Tillis or partisan gridlock may push into June.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 30–June 5 19%
June 6–12 17%
May 15–22 13%
June 27–July 3 11%
Before May 15
6%
May 15–22
13%
May 23–29
8%
May 30–June 5
19%
June 6–12
17%
June 13–19
9%
June 20–26
8%
June 27–July 3
11%
After July 3
11%
May 30–June 5 19%
June 6–12 17%
May 15–22 13%
June 27–July 3 11%
Before May 15
6%
May 15–22
13%
May 23–29
8%
May 30–June 5
19%
June 6–12
17%
June 13–19
9%
June 20–26
8%
June 27–July 3
11%
After July 3
11%
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026, but he stated in March he will serve in a holdover capacity until nominee Kevin Warsh receives Senate confirmation, driving trader consensus toward late May and early June outcomes amid a compressed timeline. President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Powell if he overstays has heightened uncertainty, while Warsh's April 21 Senate Banking Committee hearing—delayed multiple times due to Democratic opposition from figures like Sen. Elizabeth Warren over his $100 million-plus assets, crypto holdings, and an ongoing DOJ probe into Powell—keeps probabilities tightly clustered. FOMC meetings on April 28-29 and June 16-17 loom as potential catalysts; swift committee advancement could favor May 15-22 resolution, but holds from GOP Sens. like Thom Tillis or partisan gridlock may push into June.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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