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When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

Market icon

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

May 30–June 5 19%

June 6–12 17%

May 15–22 13%

June 27–July 3 11%

Polymarket
YENİ

May 30–June 5 19%

June 6–12 17%

May 15–22 13%

June 27–July 3 11%

Polymarket
YENİ

Before May 15

$81 Hac.

6%

May 15–22

$60 Hac.

13%

May 23–29

$21 Hac.

8%

May 30–June 5

$40 Hac.

19%

June 6–12

$59 Hac.

17%

June 13–19

$0 Hac.

9%

June 20–26

$0 Hac.

8%

June 27–July 3

$0 Hac.

11%

After July 3

$22 Hac.

11%

This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026, but he stated in March he will serve in a holdover capacity until nominee Kevin Warsh receives Senate confirmation, driving trader consensus toward late May and early June outcomes amid a compressed timeline. President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Powell if he overstays has heightened uncertainty, while Warsh's April 21 Senate Banking Committee hearing—delayed multiple times due to Democratic opposition from figures like Sen. Elizabeth Warren over his $100 million-plus assets, crypto holdings, and an ongoing DOJ probe into Powell—keeps probabilities tightly clustered. FOMC meetings on April 28-29 and June 16-17 loom as potential catalysts; swift committee advancement could favor May 15-22 resolution, but holds from GOP Sens. like Thom Tillis or partisan gridlock may push into June.

This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.

Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.

The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.

This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.

All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$283
Bitiş Tarihi
3 Tem 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026, but he stated in March he will serve in a holdover capacity until nominee Kevin Warsh receives Senate confirmation, driving trader consensus toward late May and early June outcomes amid a compressed timeline. President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Powell if he overstays has heightened uncertainty, while Warsh's April 21 Senate Banking Committee hearing—delayed multiple times due to Democratic opposition from figures like Sen. Elizabeth Warren over his $100 million-plus assets, crypto holdings, and an ongoing DOJ probe into Powell—keeps probabilities tightly clustered. FOMC meetings on April 28-29 and June 16-17 loom as potential catalysts; swift committee advancement could favor May 15-22 resolution, but holds from GOP Sens. like Thom Tillis or partisan gridlock may push into June.

This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.

Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.

The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.

This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.

All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$283
Bitiş Tarihi
3 Tem 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair. This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution. All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 9 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 19% ile "May 30–June 5", ardından 17% ile "June 6–12" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 19¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 19% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

"When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?" Polymarket'te yeni oluşturulmuş bir piyasadır, Apr 16, 2026 tarihinde açıldı. Erken bir piyasa olarak, ilk yatırımcılar arasında yer alarak oranları belirleme ve piyasanın ilk fiyat sinyallerini oluşturma fırsatına sahipsiniz. Ayrıca piyasa zaman içinde ilgi kazandıkça hacmi ve işlem aktivitesini takip etmek için bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyebilirsiniz.

"When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 9 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?" için mevcut favori 19% ile "May 30–June 5"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 19% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 17% ile "June 6–12"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.