Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus as the clear frontrunner to secure the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation, with recent polls like Market Links (37%, projecting 109 seats) and CAM (32%, 90 seats) showing a double-digit lead over GERB-SDS (18-21%). This commanding position stems from PB's anti-corruption surge amid the eighth vote since 2021, fueled by public frustration with coalition deadlocks, oligarch influence, and prior government collapses, including the December 2025 Zhelyazkov resignation after protests. Radev's rural appeal and reform pledges have widened the gap in the past week's surveys. While a majority (121 seats) remains elusive without coalitions, challenges like vote-buying probes, opponent mobilization, low turnout, or scandals could theoretically erode the lead before Sunday's polls close.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiBulgaristan Parlamento Seçimlerinin Kazananı
Bulgaristan Parlamento Seçimlerinin Kazananı
PB 98.8%
GERB–SDS <1%
PP–DB <1%
DPS <1%
$205,986 Hac.
$205,986 Hac.
19 Nis 2026
PB
99%
GERB–SDS
1%
PP–DB
1%
DPS
<1%
ITN
<1%
Velichie
<1%
APS
<1%
BSP-Birleşik Sol
<1%
MECH
<1%
Vazrazhdane
<1%
PB 98.8%
GERB–SDS <1%
PP–DB <1%
DPS <1%
$205,986 Hac.
$205,986 Hac.
19 Nis 2026
PB
$75,624 Hac.
99%
GERB–SDS
$30,376 Hac.
1%
PP–DB
$28,999 Hac.
1%
DPS
$4,252 Hac.
<1%
ITN
$11,889 Hac.
<1%
Velichie
$15,738 Hac.
<1%
APS
$11,608 Hac.
<1%
BSP-Birleşik Sol
$7,898 Hac.
<1%
MECH
$10,144 Hac.
<1%
Vazrazhdane
$9,543 Hac.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus as the clear frontrunner to secure the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation, with recent polls like Market Links (37%, projecting 109 seats) and CAM (32%, 90 seats) showing a double-digit lead over GERB-SDS (18-21%). This commanding position stems from PB's anti-corruption surge amid the eighth vote since 2021, fueled by public frustration with coalition deadlocks, oligarch influence, and prior government collapses, including the December 2025 Zhelyazkov resignation after protests. Radev's rural appeal and reform pledges have widened the gap in the past week's surveys. While a majority (121 seats) remains elusive without coalitions, challenges like vote-buying probes, opponent mobilization, low turnout, or scandals could theoretically erode the lead before Sunday's polls close.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Hacim
$205,986Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus as the clear frontrunner to secure the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation, with recent polls like Market Links (37%, projecting 109 seats) and CAM (32%, 90 seats) showing a double-digit lead over GERB-SDS (18-21%). This commanding position stems from PB's anti-corruption surge amid the eighth vote since 2021, fueled by public frustration with coalition deadlocks, oligarch influence, and prior government collapses, including the December 2025 Zhelyazkov resignation after protests. Radev's rural appeal and reform pledges have widened the gap in the past week's surveys. While a majority (121 seats) remains elusive without coalitions, challenges like vote-buying probes, opponent mobilization, low turnout, or scandals could theoretically erode the lead before Sunday's polls close.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Hacim
$205,986Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus as the clear frontrunner to secure the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election under proportional representation, with recent polls like Market Links (37%, projecting 109 seats) and CAM (32%, 90 seats) showing a double-digit lead over GERB-SDS (18-21%). This commanding position stems from PB's anti-corruption surge amid the eighth vote since 2021, fueled by public frustration with coalition deadlocks, oligarch influence, and prior government collapses, including the December 2025 Zhelyazkov resignation after protests. Radev's rural appeal and reform pledges have widened the gap in the past week's surveys. While a majority (121 seats) remains elusive without coalitions, challenges like vote-buying probes, opponent mobilization, low turnout, or scandals could theoretically erode the lead before Sunday's polls close.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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