Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands overwhelming trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability of securing the most seats in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, driven by consistent polling leads showing 28-32% support—projected at around 90 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation. Recent surveys, including an Alpha Research poll on April 15 placing PB at 32%, have solidified this edge amid voter frustration with repeated government failures since 2021, positioning Radev's anti-corruption, anti-oligarch platform against trailing GERB–SDS at 21% and fragmented rivals like PP–DB. While commanding, outcomes could shift via late scandals, depressed turnout favoring incumbents, or polling errors in this eighth vote in five years, though barriers remain high given the multi-party fragmentation.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiBulgaristan Parlamento Seçimlerinin Kazananı
Bulgaristan Parlamento Seçimlerinin Kazananı
PB 97.5%
GERB–SDS 1.3%
PP–DB <1%
DPS <1%
$201,860 Hac.
$201,860 Hac.
19 Nis 2026
PB
98%
GERB–SDS
1%
PP–DB
1%
DPS
<1%
ITN
<1%
Velichie
<1%
APS
<1%
BSP-Birleşik Sol
<1%
MECH
<1%
Vazrazhdane
<1%
PB 97.5%
GERB–SDS 1.3%
PP–DB <1%
DPS <1%
$201,860 Hac.
$201,860 Hac.
19 Nis 2026
PB
$73,664 Hac.
98%
GERB–SDS
$29,239 Hac.
1%
PP–DB
$27,885 Hac.
1%
DPS
$4,252 Hac.
<1%
ITN
$11,889 Hac.
<1%
Velichie
$15,738 Hac.
<1%
APS
$11,608 Hac.
<1%
BSP-Birleşik Sol
$7,898 Hac.
<1%
MECH
$10,144 Hac.
<1%
Vazrazhdane
$9,543 Hac.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands overwhelming trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability of securing the most seats in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, driven by consistent polling leads showing 28-32% support—projected at around 90 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation. Recent surveys, including an Alpha Research poll on April 15 placing PB at 32%, have solidified this edge amid voter frustration with repeated government failures since 2021, positioning Radev's anti-corruption, anti-oligarch platform against trailing GERB–SDS at 21% and fragmented rivals like PP–DB. While commanding, outcomes could shift via late scandals, depressed turnout favoring incumbents, or polling errors in this eighth vote in five years, though barriers remain high given the multi-party fragmentation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Hacim
$201,860Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands overwhelming trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability of securing the most seats in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, driven by consistent polling leads showing 28-32% support—projected at around 90 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation. Recent surveys, including an Alpha Research poll on April 15 placing PB at 32%, have solidified this edge amid voter frustration with repeated government failures since 2021, positioning Radev's anti-corruption, anti-oligarch platform against trailing GERB–SDS at 21% and fragmented rivals like PP–DB. While commanding, outcomes could shift via late scandals, depressed turnout favoring incumbents, or polling errors in this eighth vote in five years, though barriers remain high given the multi-party fragmentation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Hacim
$201,860Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands overwhelming trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability of securing the most seats in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, driven by consistent polling leads showing 28-32% support—projected at around 90 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation. Recent surveys, including an Alpha Research poll on April 15 placing PB at 32%, have solidified this edge amid voter frustration with repeated government failures since 2021, positioning Radev's anti-corruption, anti-oligarch platform against trailing GERB–SDS at 21% and fragmented rivals like PP–DB. While commanding, outcomes could shift via late scandals, depressed turnout favoring incumbents, or polling errors in this eighth vote in five years, though barriers remain high given the multi-party fragmentation.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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