Progressive Bulgaria (PB) commands overwhelming trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability of securing the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, driven by consistent poll leads widening in recent surveys. A Center for Analysis and Marketing poll released hours ago projects PB at 32% support among decided voters, translating to around 90 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation—far ahead of GERB–SDS at 19–21%. Former President Rumen Radev's leadership has capitalized on public frustration with the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid corruption allegations and this being the eighth snap vote since 2021. Caretaker PM Andrey Gyurov's crackdown on vote-buying aims for clean polls, but scenarios like a late scandal, disinformation surge, or fragmented opposition consolidation could challenge PB's frontrunner status.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiBulgaristan Parlamento Seçimlerinin Kazananı
Bulgaristan Parlamento Seçimlerinin Kazananı
PB 97.4%
GERB–SDS 1.3%
PP–DB <1%
DPS <1%
$201,710 Hac.
$201,710 Hac.
19 Nis 2026
PB
97%
GERB–SDS
1%
PP–DB
1%
DPS
<1%
ITN
<1%
Velichie
<1%
APS
<1%
BSP-Birleşik Sol
<1%
MECH
<1%
Vazrazhdane
<1%
PB 97.4%
GERB–SDS 1.3%
PP–DB <1%
DPS <1%
$201,710 Hac.
$201,710 Hac.
19 Nis 2026
PB
$73,664 Hac.
97%
GERB–SDS
$29,232 Hac.
1%
PP–DB
$27,743 Hac.
1%
DPS
$4,252 Hac.
<1%
ITN
$11,889 Hac.
<1%
Velichie
$15,738 Hac.
<1%
APS
$11,608 Hac.
<1%
BSP-Birleşik Sol
$7,898 Hac.
<1%
MECH
$10,144 Hac.
<1%
Vazrazhdane
$9,543 Hac.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB) commands overwhelming trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability of securing the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, driven by consistent poll leads widening in recent surveys. A Center for Analysis and Marketing poll released hours ago projects PB at 32% support among decided voters, translating to around 90 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation—far ahead of GERB–SDS at 19–21%. Former President Rumen Radev's leadership has capitalized on public frustration with the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid corruption allegations and this being the eighth snap vote since 2021. Caretaker PM Andrey Gyurov's crackdown on vote-buying aims for clean polls, but scenarios like a late scandal, disinformation surge, or fragmented opposition consolidation could challenge PB's frontrunner status.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Hacim
$201,710Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB) commands overwhelming trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability of securing the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, driven by consistent poll leads widening in recent surveys. A Center for Analysis and Marketing poll released hours ago projects PB at 32% support among decided voters, translating to around 90 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation—far ahead of GERB–SDS at 19–21%. Former President Rumen Radev's leadership has capitalized on public frustration with the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid corruption allegations and this being the eighth snap vote since 2021. Caretaker PM Andrey Gyurov's crackdown on vote-buying aims for clean polls, but scenarios like a late scandal, disinformation surge, or fragmented opposition consolidation could challenge PB's frontrunner status.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Hacim
$201,710Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Progressive Bulgaria (PB) commands overwhelming trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability of securing the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, driven by consistent poll leads widening in recent surveys. A Center for Analysis and Marketing poll released hours ago projects PB at 32% support among decided voters, translating to around 90 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly under proportional representation—far ahead of GERB–SDS at 19–21%. Former President Rumen Radev's leadership has capitalized on public frustration with the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid corruption allegations and this being the eighth snap vote since 2021. Caretaker PM Andrey Gyurov's crackdown on vote-buying aims for clean polls, but scenarios like a late scandal, disinformation surge, or fragmented opposition consolidation could challenge PB's frontrunner status.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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