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Seçimler·ABD Seçimleri

Kaliforniya Valisi Seçimlerinin Kazananı

Market icon
Seçimler·ABD Seçimleri

Kaliforniya Valisi Seçimlerinin Kazananı

Tom Steyer 69.3%

Katie Porter 9.8%

Matt Mahan 9%

Steve Hilton 5.6%

Polymarket

$10,440,417 Hac.

Tom Steyer 69.3%

Katie Porter 9.8%

Matt Mahan 9%

Steve Hilton 5.6%

Polymarket

$10,440,417 Hac.

Tom Steyer

$2,857,607 Hac.

69%

Katie Porter

$719,617 Hac.

10%

Matt Mahan

$284,525 Hac.

9%

Steve Hilton

$888,981 Hac.

6%

Xavier Becerra

$453,990 Hac.

2%

Chad Bianco

$803,249 Hac.

2%

Kamala Harris

$271,048 Hac.

1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$168,224 Hac.

<1%

Betty Yee

$205,357 Hac.

<1%

Elaine Culotti

$140,500 Hac.

<1%

Rick Caruso

$321,234 Hac.

<1%

Stephen Cloobeck

$206,095 Hac.

<1%

Kyle Langford

$582,187 Hac.

<1%

Eleni Kounalakis

$363,099 Hac.

<1%

Tony Thurmond

$200,171 Hac.

<1%

Leo Zacky

$225,520 Hac.

<1%

Eric Swalwell

$268,317 Hac.

<1%

Alex Padilla

$283,716 Hac.

<1%

Butch Ware

$219,925 Hac.

<1%

Toni Atkins

$224,624 Hac.

<1%

Daniel Mercuri

$232,213 Hac.

<1%

Michael Younger

$295,163 Hac.

<1%

Nicole Shanahan

$226,089 Hac.

<1%

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors billionaire Democrat Tom Steyer at 69.5% to win California's 2026 gubernatorial race, propelled by Rep. Eric Swalwell's abrupt campaign suspension on April 12 amid sexual misconduct allegations, which consolidated Democratic support behind Steyer in fresh polls like the April 14 survey showing him leading the June 2 nonpartisan top-two primary. Former Rep. Katie Porter follows at 9.8%, buoyed by her anti-corporate fundraising stance and recent polling gains appealing to progressive voters frustrated with establishment figures. San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan (8.5%) draws local strength, while GOP hopeful Steve Hilton (5.9%) trails despite earlier primary leads, underscoring California's Democratic lean where the primary winner often secures the general election on November 3. Upcoming debates and early voting could shift the closely watched jungle primary dynamics.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Hacim
$10,440,417
Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors billionaire Democrat Tom Steyer at 69.5% to win California's 2026 gubernatorial race, propelled by Rep. Eric Swalwell's abrupt campaign suspension on April 12 amid sexual misconduct allegations, which consolidated Democratic support behind Steyer in fresh polls like the April 14 survey showing him leading the June 2 nonpartisan top-two primary. Former Rep. Katie Porter follows at 9.8%, buoyed by her anti-corporate fundraising stance and recent polling gains appealing to progressive voters frustrated with establishment figures. San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan (8.5%) draws local strength, while GOP hopeful Steve Hilton (5.9%) trails despite earlier primary leads, underscoring California's Democratic lean where the primary winner often secures the general election on November 3. Upcoming debates and early voting could shift the closely watched jungle primary dynamics.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Hacim
$10,440,417
Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Kaliforniya Valisi Seçimlerinin Kazananı", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 23 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 69% ile "Tom Steyer", ardından 10% ile "Katie Porter" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 69¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 69% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Kaliforniya Valisi Seçimlerinin Kazananı" toplam $10.4 million işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Oct 9, 2025 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Kaliforniya Valisi Seçimlerinin Kazananı" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 23 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Kaliforniya Valisi Seçimlerinin Kazananı" için mevcut favori 69% ile "Tom Steyer"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 69% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 10% ile "Katie Porter"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Kaliforniya Valisi Seçimlerinin Kazananı" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.