Trader consensus favors California Governor Gavin Newsom as the Democratic presidential nominee for 2028, reflecting his commanding leads in recent California primary polls over Kamala Harris and strong positioning among Democratic insiders as a vocal Trump critic during his second term. Harris, the 2024 nominee, signaled openness to another White House bid at the National Action Network conference last week amid chants of support, yet traders price her lower due to post-election electability concerns and trailing poll numbers in key early primary states. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails closely with progressive grassroots appeal, differentiating her from Newsom's executive experience and broad fundraising network. Midterm outcomes, shadow primary fundraising through 2027, and responses to national crises could consolidate support behind a frontrunner in this wide-open field.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiDemokratik Başkan Adayı 2028
Demokratik Başkan Adayı 2028
Gavin Newsom 27.5%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%
Kamala Harris 7.2%
Jon Ossoff 5.8%
$1,050,312,832 Hac.
$1,050,312,832 Hac.

Gavin Newsom
27%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%

Kamala Harris
7%

Jon Ossoff
6%

Josh Shapiro
4%

Pete Buttigieg
4%

Andy Beshear
3%

Mark Kelly
3%

Jon Stewart
2%

James Talarico
2%

Ro Khanna
2%

J.B. Pritzker
2%

Gretchen Whitmer
1%

Wes Moore
1%

Stephen A. Smith
1%

Rahm Emanuel
1%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%

Michelle Obama
1%

Cory Booker
1%

John Fetterman
1%

Mark Cuban
1%

Oprah Winfrey
1%

Roy Cooper
1%

Liz Cheney
1%

Chelsea Clinton
1%

Chris Murphy
1%

Raphael Warnock
1%

Barack Obama
1%

George Clooney
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

Andrew Yang
1%

Ruben Gallego
1%

Jared Polis
1%

LeBron James
1%

MrBeast
1%

Hillary Clinton
1%

Gina Raimondo
1%

Beto O’Rourke
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Phil Murphy
1%

Hunter Biden
1%

Jasmine Crockett
1%

Bernie Sanders
1%
Gavin Newsom 27.5%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%
Kamala Harris 7.2%
Jon Ossoff 5.8%
$1,050,312,832 Hac.
$1,050,312,832 Hac.

Gavin Newsom
27%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%

Kamala Harris
7%

Jon Ossoff
6%

Josh Shapiro
4%

Pete Buttigieg
4%

Andy Beshear
3%

Mark Kelly
3%

Jon Stewart
2%

James Talarico
2%

Ro Khanna
2%

J.B. Pritzker
2%

Gretchen Whitmer
1%

Wes Moore
1%

Stephen A. Smith
1%

Rahm Emanuel
1%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%

Michelle Obama
1%

Cory Booker
1%

John Fetterman
1%

Mark Cuban
1%

Oprah Winfrey
1%

Roy Cooper
1%

Liz Cheney
1%

Chelsea Clinton
1%

Chris Murphy
1%

Raphael Warnock
1%

Barack Obama
1%

George Clooney
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

Andrew Yang
1%

Ruben Gallego
1%

Jared Polis
1%

LeBron James
1%

MrBeast
1%

Hillary Clinton
1%

Gina Raimondo
1%

Beto O’Rourke
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Phil Murphy
1%

Hunter Biden
1%

Jasmine Crockett
1%

Bernie Sanders
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET
Çözümleyici
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Çözümleyici
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus favors California Governor Gavin Newsom as the Democratic presidential nominee for 2028, reflecting his commanding leads in recent California primary polls over Kamala Harris and strong positioning among Democratic insiders as a vocal Trump critic during his second term. Harris, the 2024 nominee, signaled openness to another White House bid at the National Action Network conference last week amid chants of support, yet traders price her lower due to post-election electability concerns and trailing poll numbers in key early primary states. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails closely with progressive grassroots appeal, differentiating her from Newsom's executive experience and broad fundraising network. Midterm outcomes, shadow primary fundraising through 2027, and responses to national crises could consolidate support behind a frontrunner in this wide-open field.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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