Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz holds a slim 56.5% implied probability over challenger Oliver Adams Larkin at 44% in the FL-23 Democratic primary, reflecting trader consensus on incumbency advantages, superior fundraising—Moskowitz outpaced Larkin in Q3 2025 reports—and established name recognition in Florida's closed primary system ahead of the August 18 vote. Larkin's momentum stems from the Democratic Socialists of America's first federal endorsement of 2026 in late March, plus local progressive backing, amid a March poll showing him leading 49-36% after balanced bios that highlighted anti-war sentiments, including 63% favoring reduced Israel aid. The contest remains tight, hinging on turnout among progressive voters in this Democratic-leaning Broward-Palm Beach district.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$13,996 Hac.
$13,996 Hac.
18 Ağu 2026
Jared Moskowitz
55%
Oliver Adams Larkin
42%
$13,996 Hac.
$13,996 Hac.
18 Ağu 2026
Jared Moskowitz
$4,980 Hac.
55%
Oliver Adams Larkin
$9,017 Hac.
42%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz holds a slim 56.5% implied probability over challenger Oliver Adams Larkin at 44% in the FL-23 Democratic primary, reflecting trader consensus on incumbency advantages, superior fundraising—Moskowitz outpaced Larkin in Q3 2025 reports—and established name recognition in Florida's closed primary system ahead of the August 18 vote. Larkin's momentum stems from the Democratic Socialists of America's first federal endorsement of 2026 in late March, plus local progressive backing, amid a March poll showing him leading 49-36% after balanced bios that highlighted anti-war sentiments, including 63% favoring reduced Israel aid. The contest remains tight, hinging on turnout among progressive voters in this Democratic-leaning Broward-Palm Beach district.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
Hacim
$13,996Bitiş Tarihi
18 Ağu 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz holds a slim 56.5% implied probability over challenger Oliver Adams Larkin at 44% in the FL-23 Democratic primary, reflecting trader consensus on incumbency advantages, superior fundraising—Moskowitz outpaced Larkin in Q3 2025 reports—and established name recognition in Florida's closed primary system ahead of the August 18 vote. Larkin's momentum stems from the Democratic Socialists of America's first federal endorsement of 2026 in late March, plus local progressive backing, amid a March poll showing him leading 49-36% after balanced bios that highlighted anti-war sentiments, including 63% favoring reduced Israel aid. The contest remains tight, hinging on turnout among progressive voters in this Democratic-leaning Broward-Palm Beach district.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$13,996Bitiş Tarihi
18 Ağu 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz holds a slim 56.5% implied probability over challenger Oliver Adams Larkin at 44% in the FL-23 Democratic primary, reflecting trader consensus on incumbency advantages, superior fundraising—Moskowitz outpaced Larkin in Q3 2025 reports—and established name recognition in Florida's closed primary system ahead of the August 18 vote. Larkin's momentum stems from the Democratic Socialists of America's first federal endorsement of 2026 in late March, plus local progressive backing, amid a March poll showing him leading 49-36% after balanced bios that highlighted anti-war sentiments, including 63% favoring reduced Israel aid. The contest remains tight, hinging on turnout among progressive voters in this Democratic-leaning Broward-Palm Beach district.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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